Boston College

11-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

1.0%Boston College

99.0%Duke

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -29.4

PROJECTED TOTAL141.6

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -9900

Duke

35-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBoston College 56

Projected Total141.6

Projected ScoreDuke 85

Team Comparison

Boston CollegeMetricDuke

45.1MMH Power Index81.7

100.0Offensive Efficiency122.2

104.8Defensive Efficiency95.2

-4.8Net Efficiency27.0

4.8Strength of Schedule7.8

-14.3Last 10 Net Efficiency18.7

67.4Tempo66.8

47.1%Effective FG%56.9%

15.4%Turnover Rate15.9%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %38.2%

33.2%Free Throw Rate39.0%

-3.3Average Margin18.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY99.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–45.1), offensive efficiency (122.2–100.0), defensive efficiency (95.2–104.8), net efficiency (27.0–-4.8).

Boston College COUNTERS WITHball security (15.4–15.9).

Final

Boston College

49—67

Duke

Duke by 18 • 61.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Boston CollegeTEAM STATDuke

20-52FG24-50

38.0%FG%48.0%

5-203PT5-18

25.0%3PT%28.0%

4-9FT14-20

44.0%FT%70.0%

31Rebounds35

7Offensive Rebounds7

8Assists15

12Turnovers9

2Steals10

1Blocks2

13Fouls13

Player Box Score

Boston College

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Fred Payne	G	38	7-14	0-3	0-0	5	2	0	0	14
Boden Kapke	F	23	3-6	1-3	0-0	5	0	0	0	7
Donald Hand Jr.	G	33	2-8	0-3	2-2	3	1	1	0	6
Jason Asemota	F	12	2-4	2-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Jayden Hastings	F	34	1-7	0-1	2-4	9	0	0	1	4
Luka Toews	G	12	2-4	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	4
Caleb Steger	G	15	1-3	1-3	0-1	0	0	1	0	3
Chase Forte	G	13	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	3	0	0	3
Aidan Shaw	G	20	1-3	0-1	0-2	5	0	0	0	2

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cameron Boozer	F	34	9-17	1-4	0-0	12	2	5	0	19
Isaiah Evans	G	31	4-10	2-6	2-3	2	3	1	1	12
Patrick Ngongba II	C	22	2-5	1-1	4-6	9	2	1	1	9
Caleb Foster	G	29	3-4	1-2	1-2	3	2	0	0	8
Dame Sarr	G	19	2-4	0-2	2-2	2	1	1	0	6
Nikolas Khamenia	G	18	1-2	0-1	4-5	0	0	0	0	6
Maliq Brown	F	24	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	4	2	0	4
Darren Harris	G	9	1-5	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Cayden Boozer	G	14	0-0	0-0	1-2	2	1	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

61.4Possessions61.4

79.8Offensive Efficiency109.1

109.1Defensive Efficiency79.8

-29.3Net Efficiency29.3

43.3%Effective FG%53.0%

43.5%True Shooting %56.3%

19.6%Turnover Rate14.6%

17.3%Free Throw Rate40.0%

38.5%3-Point Rate36.0%

0.67Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

Duke won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 61.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.