Northwestern

15-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

5.4%Northwestern

94.6%Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -19.2

PROJECTED TOTAL150.2

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -1752

Illinois

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 66

Projected Total150.2

Projected ScoreIllinois 85

Team Comparison

NorthwesternMetricIllinois

55.4MMH Power Index76.5

111.6Offensive Efficiency125.0

109.8Defensive Efficiency103.3

1.8Net Efficiency21.7

5.6Strength of Schedule6.7

-2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency12.7

65.6Tempo66.5

51.9%Effective FG%54.8%

13.0%Turnover Rate13.1%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %39.3%

34.8%Free Throw Rate33.8%

1.2Average Margin14.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–55.4), offensive efficiency (125.0–111.6), defensive efficiency (103.3–109.8), net efficiency (21.7–1.8).

Northwestern COUNTERS WITHball security (13.0–13.1), free throw rate (34.8–33.8).

Final

Northwestern

44—84

Illinois

Illinois by 40 • 63.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NorthwesternTEAM STATIllinois

19-65FG28-58

29.0%FG%48.0%

4-253PT17-38

16.0%3PT%45.0%

2-4FT11-14

50.0%FT%79.0%

23Rebounds50

6Offensive Rebounds11

10Assists20

1Turnovers11

7Steals1

1Blocks3

11Fouls9

Player Box Score

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tre Singleton	F	22	3-7	0-2	2-2	4	1	1	1	8
Jayden Reid	G	23	3-10	1-5	0-0	0	4	1	0	7
Tyler Kropp	F	21	3-7	0-1	0-0	4	0	1	0	6
Jake West	G	25	2-6	1-3	0-2	1	1	0	0	5
Nick Martinelli	F	27	2-10	0-2	0-0	2	1	1	0	4
Arrinten Page	F	18	2-5	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Angelo Ciaravino	G	16	2-5	0-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	4
Max Green	G	10	1-4	1-2	0-0	1	0	2	0	3
K.J. Windham	G	7	1-4	1-3	0-0	2	2	0	0	3
Phoenix Gill	G	15	0-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Justin Mullins	G	10	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Jordan Clayton	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andrej Stojakovic	G	28	4-8	0-2	9-10	4	2	1	0	17
Keaton Wagler	G	30	4-8	3-5	2-4	7	5	0	0	13
Ben Humrichous	F	26	5-8	3-6	0-0	7	1	0	0	13
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	21	5-8	3-5	0-0	7	1	0	2	13
David Mirkovic	F	27	4-6	4-5	0-0	7	2	0	0	12
Jake Davis	F	28	3-11	3-10	0-0	3	2	0	0	9
Tomislav Ivisic	C	24	2-6	1-4	0-0	12	5	0	1	5
Brandon Lee	G	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Mihailo Petrovic	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
Blake Fagbemi	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
AJ Redd	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.3Possessions63.3

69.5Offensive Efficiency132.7

132.7Defensive Efficiency69.5

-63.2Net Efficiency63.2

32.3%Effective FG%62.9%

32.9%True Shooting %65.0%

1.6%Turnover Rate17.0%

6.2%Free Throw Rate24.1%

38.5%3-Point Rate65.5%

10.00Assist / Turnover1.82

Game Summary

Illinois won by 40 points. The game played at approximately 63.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.