Michigan State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

83.8%Michigan State

16.2%Minnesota

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -9.3

PROJECTED TOTAL142.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -517

Minnesota

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMichigan State 76

Projected Total142.6

Projected ScoreMinnesota 67

Team Comparison

Michigan StateMetricMinnesota

69.8MMH Power Index50.5

117.0Offensive Efficiency109.1

101.5Defensive Efficiency107.7

15.5Net Efficiency1.4

7.2Strength of Schedule3.2

9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.6

67.3Tempo63.6

54.1%Effective FG%54.1%

17.2%Turnover Rate16.5%

37.7%Offensive Rebound %26.5%

36.6%Free Throw Rate36.9%

10.5Average Margin0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–50.5), offensive efficiency (117.0–109.1), defensive efficiency (101.5–107.7), net efficiency (15.5–1.4).

Minnesota COUNTERS WITHball security (16.5–17.2), free throw rate (36.9–36.6).

Final

Michigan State

73—76

Minnesota

Minnesota by 3 • 62.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Michigan StateTEAM STATMinnesota

26-58FG22-46

45.0%FG%48.0%

9-243PT10-21

38.0%3PT%48.0%

12-17FT22-31

71.0%FT%71.0%

39Rebounds23

13Offensive Rebounds3

22Assists17

9Turnovers6

5Steals4

1Blocks1

21Fouls14

Player Box Score

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Coen Carr	F	28	5-11	0-1	6-7	6	2	0	0	16
Jordan Scott	F	29	5-8	3-4	2-4	2	2	2	0	15
Trey Fort	G	15	4-8	4-7	0-0	2	1	0	0	12
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	32	4-11	0-3	2-2	2	11	2	0	10
Jaxon Kohler	F	27	4-9	1-5	0-0	9	1	0	0	9
Cam Ward	F	17	2-2	0-0	1-2	4	2	1	1	5
Kur Teng	G	18	1-5	1-4	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Divine Ugochukwu	G	8	1-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	3
Carson Cooper	C	20	0-3	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	0	0
Denham Wojcik	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Jesse McCulloch	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	35	7-14	4-8	4-6	7	3	0	0	22
Cade Tyson	G	38	4-12	3-7	6-7	2	2	0	0	17
Langston Reynolds	G	37	4-8	0-0	6-11	4	8	0	0	14
Bobby Durkin	F	36	4-5	3-4	2-2	8	1	1	0	13
Isaac Asuma	G	37	3-6	0-2	4-5	0	2	2	0	10
Grayson Grove	F	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	1	0
Kai Shinholster	G	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.9Possessions62.9

116.1Offensive Efficiency120.8

120.8Defensive Efficiency116.1

-4.8Net Efficiency4.8

52.6%Effective FG%58.7%

55.2%True Shooting %62.6%

14.5%Turnover Rate9.4%

29.3%Free Throw Rate67.4%

41.4%3-Point Rate45.7%

2.44Assist / Turnover2.83

Game Summary

Minnesota won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 62.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.