Notre Dame

13-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.0%Notre Dame

92.0%Louisville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLouisville -17.1

PROJECTED TOTAL156.6

MODEL MONEYLINELouisville -1150

Louisville

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNotre Dame 70

Projected Total156.6

Projected ScoreLouisville 87

Team Comparison

Notre DameMetricLouisville

49.7MMH Power Index67.1

110.3Offensive Efficiency118.6

111.2Defensive Efficiency102.2

-0.9Net Efficiency16.4

4.7Strength of Schedule6.0

-11.6Last 10 Net Efficiency1.4

68.0Tempo71.0

53.0%Effective FG%56.9%

17.0%Turnover Rate16.8%

31.4%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

34.7%Free Throw Rate34.1%

-0.6Average Margin11.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Louisville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLouisville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (67.1–49.7), offensive efficiency (118.6–110.3), defensive efficiency (102.2–111.2), net efficiency (16.4–-0.9).

Notre Dame COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (34.7–34.1).

Final

Notre Dame

65—76

Louisville

Louisville by 11 • 69.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Notre DameTEAM STATLouisville

24-62FG28-65

39.0%FG%43.0%

11-273PT7-31

41.0%3PT%23.0%

6-14FT13-18

43.0%FT%72.0%

35Rebounds46

12Offensive Rebounds16

14Assists19

12Turnovers12

9Steals6

3Blocks4

17Fouls16

Player Box Score

Notre Dame

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cole Certa	G	35	6-18	5-14	1-2	3	1	1	0	18
Brady Koehler	F	32	4-10	2-5	1-2	4	0	4	2	11
Braeden Shrewsberry	G	34	3-11	2-4	0-1	2	2	2	0	8
Jalen Haralson	F	29	3-9	0-1	2-4	7	5	1	0	8
Sir Mohammed	G	14	3-7	0-1	2-4	3	1	0	1	8
Carson Towt	F	25	3-5	0-0	0-1	10	3	1	0	6
Garrett Sundra	F	13	1-1	1-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Ryder Frost	F	1	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Logan Imes	G	16	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Matthew MacLellan	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaac McKneely	G	27	4-8	4-8	1-1	2	0	0	0	13
Ryan Conwell	G	33	4-14	1-9	3-3	4	3	1	1	12
Khani Rooths	F	26	5-9	1-2	1-3	12	1	2	0	12
Sananda Fru	F	17	4-7	0-0	4-4	5	1	0	3	12
Kasean Pryor	F	16	5-6	0-1	0-1	5	1	1	0	10
Mikel Brown Jr.	G	28	1-7	1-5	3-4	4	6	1	0	6
Adrian Wooley	G	18	3-9	0-4	0-0	6	2	0	0	6
Kobe Rodgers	G	12	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	2	0	0	2
Aly Khalifa	C	10	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Vangelis Zougris	F	10	0-1	0-0	1-2	2	2	1	0	1
J'Vonne Hadley	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.2Possessions69.2

93.9Offensive Efficiency109.8

109.8Defensive Efficiency93.9

-15.9Net Efficiency15.9

47.6%Effective FG%48.5%

47.3%True Shooting %51.7%

17.5%Turnover Rate17.3%

22.6%Free Throw Rate27.7%

43.5%3-Point Rate47.7%

1.17Assist / Turnover1.58

Game Summary

Louisville won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 69.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.