Penn State

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

1.0%Penn State

99.0%Michigan

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan -31.9

PROJECTED TOTAL158.7

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan -9900

Michigan

36-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePenn State 63

Projected Total158.7

Projected ScoreMichigan 95

Team Comparison

Penn StateMetricMichigan

42.3MMH Power Index80.9

109.2Offensive Efficiency122.3

117.6Defensive Efficiency97.0

-8.4Net Efficiency25.3

5.3Strength of Schedule8.7

-20.8Last 10 Net Efficiency17.2

67.5Tempo71.8

53.4%Effective FG%58.8%

15.6%Turnover Rate16.4%

25.6%Offensive Rebound %34.6%

34.6%Free Throw Rate38.9%

-5.7Average Margin18.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY99.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (80.9–42.3), offensive efficiency (122.3–109.2), defensive efficiency (97.0–117.6), net efficiency (25.3–-8.4).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHball security (15.6–16.4).

Final

Penn State

69—110

Michigan

Michigan by 41 • 71.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Penn StateTEAM STATMichigan

23-62FG40-66

37.0%FG%61.0%

2-203PT15-29

10.0%3PT%52.0%

21-26FT15-17

81.0%FT%88.0%

21Rebounds44

9Offensive Rebounds11

7Assists31

5Turnovers9

6Steals3

3Blocks8

14Fouls20

Player Box Score

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Freddie Dilione V	G	40	8-21	1-8	2-2	7	3	1	0	19
Melih Tunca	G	38	4-7	0-3	7-8	2	3	1	1	15
Josh Reed	F	26	4-12	1-3	6-7	4	0	0	0	15
Kayden Mingo	G	36	2-10	0-3	3-6	1	1	4	0	7
Justin Houser	F	22	2-5	0-1	2-2	2	0	0	2	6
Mason Blackwood	F	26	2-5	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Dominick Stewart	G	10	1-2	0-1	1-1	0	0	0	0	3
Chris Lotito	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nimari Burnett	G	21	11-16	7-10	2-2	5	0	2	0	31
Trey McKenney	G	27	3-6	2-3	4-4	5	4	0	0	12
L.J. Cason	G	26	4-8	2-5	2-2	3	6	0	0	12
Morez Johnson Jr.	F	18	5-6	0-0	2-3	8	0	0	0	12
Aday Mara	C	15	3-3	0-0	5-6	6	1	0	6	11
Will Tschetter	F	26	3-4	3-3	0-0	1	3	0	0	9
Elliot Cadeau	G	23	3-9	1-6	0-0	2	8	0	0	7
Yaxel Lendeborg	F	25	3-5	0-1	0-0	7	8	1	1	6
Oscar Goodman	F	11	3-6	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	1	6
Malick Kordel	C	7	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Howard Eisley Jr.	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.3Possessions71.3

96.8Offensive Efficiency154.3

154.3Defensive Efficiency96.8

-57.5Net Efficiency57.5

38.7%Effective FG%72.0%

46.4%True Shooting %74.2%

7.1%Turnover Rate12.5%

41.9%Free Throw Rate25.8%

32.3%3-Point Rate43.9%

1.40Assist / Turnover3.44

Game Summary

Michigan won by 41 points. The game played at approximately 71.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.