UConn

34-5

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.3%UConn

62.7%St. John's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. John's -4.4

PROJECTED TOTAL147.3

MODEL MONEYLINESt. John's -168

St. John's

30-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUConn 71

Projected Total147.3

Projected ScoreSt. John's 76

Team Comparison

UConnMetricSt. John's

70.2MMH Power Index70.3

116.3Offensive Efficiency114.4

98.4Defensive Efficiency97.6

17.9Net Efficiency16.8

6.3Strength of Schedule5.5

9.4Last 10 Net Efficiency11.4

66.2Tempo70.9

55.0%Effective FG%51.3%

16.4%Turnover Rate14.3%

35.4%Offensive Rebound %34.8%

30.7%Free Throw Rate41.1%

11.8Average Margin11.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. John's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. John's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.3–70.2), defensive efficiency (97.6–98.4), recent form (11.4–9.4), ball security (14.3–16.4).

UConn COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (116.3–114.4), net efficiency (17.9–16.8), strength of schedule (6.3–5.5).

Final

UConn

72—81

St. John's

St. John's by 9 • 68.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UConnTEAM STATSt. John's

29-53FG27-54

55.0%FG%50.0%

9-193PT5-19

47.0%3PT%26.0%

5-12FT22-31

42.0%FT%71.0%

26Rebounds32

6Offensive Rebounds9

14Assists16

15Turnovers10

6Steals9

6Blocks3

23Fouls15

Player Box Score

UConn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Silas Demary Jr.	G	36	7-11	1-2	3-6	7	5	1	0	18
Alex Karaban	F	35	7-10	3-4	0-0	3	3	0	1	17
Tarris Reed Jr.	C	35	5-10	0-0	2-6	6	2	2	3	12
Braylon Mullins	G	34	4-8	3-7	0-0	2	2	1	0	11
Solo Ball	G	31	3-8	2-5	0-0	3	1	1	2	8
Jaylin Stewart	F	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Jayden Ross	F	8	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Eric Reibe	C	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Malachi Smith	G	5	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

St. John's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zuby Ejiofor	F	35	6-10	1-1	8-10	10	7	2	3	21
Dillon Mitchell	F	35	7-9	0-0	1-2	6	2	1	0	15
Bryce Hopkins	F	31	4-7	1-2	5-9	6	2	1	0	14
Dylan Darling	G	21	3-4	1-2	2-2	1	2	1	0	9
Oziyah Sellers	G	33	3-10	0-5	2-4	5	2	2	0	8
Ian Jackson	G	15	2-6	0-2	4-4	1	1	1	0	8
Joson Sanon	G	24	2-7	2-7	0-0	0	0	1	0	6
Ruben Prey	F	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Lefteris Liotopoulos	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.7Possessions68.7

104.8Offensive Efficiency117.9

117.9Defensive Efficiency104.8

-13.1Net Efficiency13.1

63.2%Effective FG%54.6%

61.3%True Shooting %58.9%

22.2%Turnover Rate14.3%

22.6%Free Throw Rate57.4%

35.8%3-Point Rate35.2%

0.93Assist / Turnover1.60

Game Summary

St. John's won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 68.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.