Oregon

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

3.9%Oregon

96.1%Purdue

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPurdue -20.6

PROJECTED TOTAL150.2

MODEL MONEYLINEPurdue -2464

Purdue

30-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOregon 65

Projected Total150.2

Projected ScorePurdue 85

Team Comparison

OregonMetricPurdue

48.9MMH Power Index73.2

106.4Offensive Efficiency124.8

110.7Defensive Efficiency107.8

-4.3Net Efficiency17.0

6.0Strength of Schedule7.6

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency11.8

66.7Tempo65.4

49.9%Effective FG%57.8%

17.8%Turnover Rate13.7%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %36.2%

36.9%Free Throw Rate29.1%

-2.9Average Margin11.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Purdue HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPurdue holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (73.2–48.9), offensive efficiency (124.8–106.4), defensive efficiency (107.8–110.7), net efficiency (17.0–-4.3).

Oregon COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (36.9–29.1).

Final

Oregon

64—68

Purdue

Purdue by 4 • 66.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

OregonTEAM STATPurdue

24-54FG22-47

44.0%FG%47.0%

5-253PT5-18

20.0%3PT%28.0%

11-16FT19-25

69.0%FT%76.0%

28Rebounds32

7Offensive Rebounds8

14Assists15

13Turnovers14

12Steals5

1Blocks—

21Fouls14

Player Box Score

Oregon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nate Bittle	C	34	6-14	1-8	10-14	5	2	0	1	23
Takai Simpkins	G	36	6-13	2-7	0-0	3	3	4	0	14
Wei Lin	G	18	3-8	1-5	0-0	1	3	1	0	7
Kwame Evans Jr.	F	29	2-7	0-2	1-2	7	3	2	0	5
Sean Stewart	F	33	2-4	0-0	0-0	7	2	3	0	4
Dezdrick Lindsay	F	15	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	4
Drew Carter	G	12	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Jamari Phillips	G	11	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Oleksandr Kobzystyi	F	4	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Luke Johnson	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Purdue

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Fletcher Loyer	G	32	4-7	3-4	7-8	4	2	1	18
Braden Smith	G	38	5-12	1-4	2-3	4	4	1	13
Trey Kaufman-Renn	F	28	4-8	0-0	4-5	8	4	1	12
Daniel Jacobsen	C	20	3-3	0-0	3-3	4	0	0	9
Jack Benter	G	12	2-3	1-2	0-1	1	0	1	5
Omer Mayer	G	14	1-3	0-2	2-3	2	1	1	4
Oscar Cluff	C	20	1-3	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	3
C.J. Cox	G	21	1-4	0-3	0-0	3	3	0	2
Gicarri Harris	G	15	1-4	0-3	0-0	1	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

66.3Possessions66.3

96.5Offensive Efficiency102.6

102.6Defensive Efficiency96.5

-6.0Net Efficiency6.0

49.1%Effective FG%52.1%

51.9%True Shooting %57.7%

19.2%Turnover Rate21.6%

29.6%Free Throw Rate53.2%

46.3%3-Point Rate38.3%

1.08Assist / Turnover1.07

Game Summary

Purdue won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 66.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.