Arkansas logo

Arkansas

28-9
GAME THAT MATTERSAT
90.4%Arkansas
9.6%Mississippi State
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADArkansas -13.1
PROJECTED TOTAL171.1
MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas -942
Mississippi State logo

Mississippi State

13-19
MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreArkansas 92
Projected Total171.1
Projected ScoreMississippi State 79

Team Comparison

69.3MMH Power Index44.6
122.2Offensive Efficiency107.4
109.8Defensive Efficiency113.2
12.4Net Efficiency-5.8
8.6Strength of Schedule5.0
3.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-17.5
73.8Tempo72.3
56.4%Effective FG%51.6%
12.2%Turnover Rate16.1%
31.8%Offensive Rebound %29.8%
36.5%Free Throw Rate30.9%
9.2Average Margin-4.2
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.4%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
110
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.3–44.6), offensive efficiency (122.2–107.4), defensive efficiency (109.8–113.2), net efficiency (12.4–-5.8).
Final
Arkansas logo
Arkansas
8868
Mississippi State logo
Mississippi State
Arkansas by 2070.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ArkansasTEAM STATMississippi State
36-69FG28-61
52.0%FG%46.0%
8-223PT3-15
36.0%3PT%20.0%
8-12FT9-14
67.0%FT%64.0%
38Rebounds33
11Offensive Rebounds9
22Assists15
7Turnovers11
5Steals3
9Blocks7
13Fouls10

Player Box Score

Arkansas
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Darius Acuff Jr.G389-193-53-358000024
Trevon BrazileF407-122-63-584140019
Meleek ThomasG407-173-80-033200017
Billy Richmond IIIG257-110-20-043010014
Nick PringleF282-20-02-411100006
Isaiah SealyG153-60-10-01203006
Malique EwinF141-20-00-02121002
Mississippi State
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Josh HubbardG337-150-42-305010016
Achor AchorF277-131-30-081200015
Jamarion Davis-FlemingF245-70-02-260120012
Quincy BallardC153-50-02-32102008
Ja'Borri McGheeG181-31-22-22200005
King GraceG212-60-20-03001004
Shawn Jones Jr.G251-40-11-24100003
Jayden EppsG231-51-20-02300003
Sergej MacuraF71-20-00-22001002
Dellquan WarrenG60-10-10-01200000
Brandon WalkerF10-00-00-00000000

Advanced Game Stats

70.2Possessions70.2
125.4Offensive Efficiency96.9
96.9Defensive Efficiency125.4
28.5Net Efficiency-28.5
58.0%Effective FG%48.4%
58.9%True Shooting %50.3%
9.9%Turnover Rate15.8%
17.4%Free Throw Rate23.0%
31.9%3-Point Rate24.6%
3.14Assist / Turnover1.36
Game Summary
Arkansas won by 20 points. The game played at approximately 70.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.