Alabama

24-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

51.5%Alabama

48.5%Auburn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAuburn -0.1

PROJECTED TOTAL174.2

MODEL MONEYLINEAlabama -106

Auburn

21-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAlabama 87

Projected Total174.2

Projected ScoreAuburn 87

Team Comparison

AlabamaMetricAuburn

69.5MMH Power Index64.4

121.6Offensive Efficiency118.8

111.2Defensive Efficiency113.0

10.4Net Efficiency5.8

9.4Strength of Schedule7.5

9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency8.0

74.7Tempo69.8

54.9%Effective FG%53.1%

13.0%Turnover Rate14.5%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %36.5%

36.9%Free Throw Rate43.8%

7.7Average Margin4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Alabama HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAlabama holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.5–64.4), offensive efficiency (121.6–118.8), defensive efficiency (111.2–113.0), net efficiency (10.4–5.8).

Auburn COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (36.5–32.1), free throw rate (43.8–36.9).

Final

Alabama

96—92

Auburn

Alabama by 4 • 74.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

AlabamaTEAM STATAuburn

32-59FG33-71

54.0%FG%46.0%

12-233PT9-28

52.0%3PT%32.0%

20-23FT17-22

87.0%FT%77.0%

30Rebounds35

7Offensive Rebounds14

17Assists12

14Turnovers5

5Steals9

7Blocks4

19Fouls20

Player Box Score

Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Labaron Philon Jr.	G	33	7-15	3-6	8-9	5	6	1	2	25
Amari Allen	F	35	5-8	3-5	4-4	6	4	0	0	17
Aden Holloway	G	31	5-12	1-3	4-5	2	4	1	0	15
Charles Bediako	C	22	5-5	0-0	2-3	3	0	1	0	12
London Jemison	F	15	3-5	1-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	7
Aiden Sherrell	F	24	2-6	0-0	2-2	3	1	0	4	6
Houston Mallette	G	22	2-3	2-3	0-0	3	0	1	0	6
Latrell Wrightsell	G	11	2-3	1-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	5
Taylor Bol Bowen	F	7	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	1	3

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tahaad Pettiford	G	34	9-16	3-8	4-4	3	7	0	0	25
Keyshawn Hall	F	34	8-22	1-6	7-9	3	1	3	2	24
Kevin Overton	G	38	5-10	4-7	3-4	5	1	0	0	17
KeShawn Murphy	F	27	6-10	1-2	0-0	12	2	1	0	13
Sebastian Williams-Adams	F	33	3-6	0-2	0-0	3	1	3	1	6
Elyjah Freeman	G	16	1-3	0-2	3-4	1	0	1	0	5
Filip Jovic	F	13	1-1	0-0	0-1	2	0	1	1	2
Blake Muschalek	G	5	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.7Possessions74.7

128.5Offensive Efficiency123.2

123.2Defensive Efficiency128.5

5.4Net Efficiency-5.4

64.4%Effective FG%52.8%

68.6%True Shooting %56.5%

18.2%Turnover Rate6.9%

39.0%Free Throw Rate31.0%

39.0%3-Point Rate39.4%

1.21Assist / Turnover2.40

Game Summary

Alabama won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 74.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in True Shooting %, Effective FG%, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.