Wisconsin

24-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

54.8%Wisconsin

45.2%Indiana

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIndiana -0.4

PROJECTED TOTAL157.8

MODEL MONEYLINEWisconsin -121

Indiana

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWisconsin 79

Projected Total157.8

Projected ScoreIndiana 79

Team Comparison

WisconsinMetricIndiana

64.5MMH Power Index58.2

118.6Offensive Efficiency116.0

108.8Defensive Efficiency107.1

9.8Net Efficiency8.9

6.7Strength of Schedule5.2

5.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.7

69.9Tempo67.4

54.6%Effective FG%56.0%

12.8%Turnover Rate15.1%

28.7%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

32.5%Free Throw Rate35.8%

6.9Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wisconsin HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWisconsin holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.5–58.2), offensive efficiency (118.6–116.0), net efficiency (9.8–8.9), strength of schedule (6.7–5.2).

Indiana COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.1–108.8), shooting efficiency (56.0–54.6), free throw rate (35.8–32.5).

Final

Wisconsin

77—78

Indiana

Indiana by 1 • 68.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

WisconsinTEAM STATIndiana

27-71FG30-63

38.0%FG%48.0%

12-363PT5-22

33.0%3PT%23.0%

11-12FT13-15

92.0%FT%87.0%

37Rebounds37

14Offensive Rebounds11

16Assists13

7Turnovers8

5Steals1

3Blocks9

19Fouls15

Player Box Score

Wisconsin

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nolan Winter	F	40	9-13	3-5	5-5	12	0	0	2	26
Nick Boyd	G	41	7-19	5-6	1-2	4	6	0	0	20
John Blackwell	G	44	7-17	1-6	3-3	6	3	1	1	18
Braeden Carrington	G	26	2-8	1-7	2-2	4	0	2	0	7
Andrew Rohde	G	40	2-10	2-8	0-0	0	4	2	0	6
Jack Janicki	G	20	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Aleksas Bieliauskas	F	14	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	2	0	0	0

Indiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Lamar Wilkerson	G	41	8-20	1-8	8-8	4	4	1	1	25
Sam Alexis	F	34	9-10	0-0	1-1	7	1	0	5	19
Tucker DeVries	F	45	5-10	3-7	3-4	8	1	0	2	16
Conor Enright	G	39	5-11	1-3	0-0	4	6	0	0	11
Jasai Miles	G	25	2-6	0-1	0-0	5	0	0	1	4
Trent Sisley	F	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Reed Bailey	F	11	0-1	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Nick Dorn	G	27	0-4	0-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.4Possessions68.4

112.6Offensive Efficiency114.0

114.0Defensive Efficiency112.6

-1.5Net Efficiency1.5

46.5%Effective FG%51.6%

50.2%True Shooting %55.6%

10.0%Turnover Rate11.9%

16.9%Free Throw Rate23.8%

50.7%3-Point Rate34.9%

2.29Assist / Turnover1.63

Game Summary

Indiana won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 68.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.