Louisville

24-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

63.4%Louisville

36.6%Wake Forest

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLouisville -3.9

PROJECTED TOTAL159.9

MODEL MONEYLINELouisville -173

Wake Forest

18-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLouisville 82

Projected Total159.9

Projected ScoreWake Forest 78

Team Comparison

LouisvilleMetricWake Forest

67.1MMH Power Index57.6

118.6Offensive Efficiency112.4

102.2Defensive Efficiency109.7

16.4Net Efficiency2.7

6.0Strength of Schedule7.2

1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

71.0Tempo70.2

56.9%Effective FG%52.8%

16.8%Turnover Rate15.5%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %30.0%

34.1%Free Throw Rate36.1%

11.7Average Margin1.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Louisville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLouisville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (67.1–57.6), offensive efficiency (118.6–112.4), defensive efficiency (102.2–109.7), net efficiency (16.4–2.7).

Wake Forest COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.2–6.0), ball security (15.5–16.8), free throw rate (36.1–34.1).

Final

Louisville

88—80

Wake Forest

Louisville by 8 • 70.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LouisvilleTEAM STATWake Forest

27-51FG27-63

53.0%FG%43.0%

10-253PT8-25

40.0%3PT%32.0%

24-31FT18-25

77.0%FT%72.0%

32Rebounds32

6Offensive Rebounds10

19Assists17

11Turnovers6

3Steals8

4Blocks2

20Fouls24

Player Box Score

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sananda Fru	F	26	7-7	0-0	3-4	6	2	0	2	17
J'Vonne Hadley	G	22	5-7	1-2	4-4	5	1	0	0	15
Khani Rooths	F	18	4-10	1-5	4-6	4	0	0	2	13
Mikel Brown Jr.	G	33	2-10	1-7	7-9	2	8	1	0	12
Ryan Conwell	G	26	3-6	2-4	3-4	4	2	0	0	11
Isaac McKneely	G	22	4-5	3-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	11
Kasean Pryor	F	6	1-3	1-2	2-2	1	0	0	0	5
Adrian Wooley	G	23	1-1	1-1	0-0	5	2	0	0	3
Kobe Rodgers	G	12	0-1	0-0	1-2	4	2	2	0	1
Aly Khalifa	C	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Vangelis Zougris	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Wake Forest

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Juke Harris	G	39	8-21	3-10	6-7	11	3	0	0	25
Omaha Biliew	F	14	5-6	3-3	1-2	3	0	1	0	14
Sebastian Akins	G	27	4-11	0-3	4-4	2	4	5	0	12
Myles Colvin	G	29	2-8	1-5	5-6	4	0	1	0	10
Tre'Von Spillers	F	32	4-9	0-0	1-4	6	7	0	1	9
Mekhi Mason	G	20	1-4	1-3	0-0	1	1	0	1	3
Cooper Schwieger	F	18	1-2	0-1	1-1	0	1	1	0	3
Isaac Carr	G	13	1-1	0-0	0-1	0	1	0	0	2
Marqus Marion	F	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

70.8Possessions70.8

124.3Offensive Efficiency113.0

113.0Defensive Efficiency124.3

11.3Net Efficiency-11.3

62.7%Effective FG%49.2%

66.9%True Shooting %53.4%

15.6%Turnover Rate8.5%

60.8%Free Throw Rate39.7%

49.0%3-Point Rate39.7%

1.73Assist / Turnover2.83

Game Summary

Louisville won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 70.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.