Baylor

16-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.3%Baylor

91.7%Iowa State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIowa State -16.2

PROJECTED TOTAL155.0

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa State -1105

Iowa State

28-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBaylor 69

Projected Total155.0

Projected ScoreIowa State 86

Team Comparison

BaylorMetricIowa State

58.9MMH Power Index75.9

116.7Offensive Efficiency119.3

109.5Defensive Efficiency96.0

7.2Net Efficiency23.3

4.0Strength of Schedule4.9

-2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency17.5

69.7Tempo68.4

54.4%Effective FG%56.1%

16.4%Turnover Rate15.0%

37.5%Offensive Rebound %35.5%

34.8%Free Throw Rate35.2%

5.1Average Margin15.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (75.9–58.9), offensive efficiency (119.3–116.7), defensive efficiency (96.0–109.5), net efficiency (23.3–7.2).

Baylor COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (37.5–35.5).

Final

Baylor

69—72

Iowa State

Iowa State by 3 • 62.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BaylorTEAM STATIowa State

26-57FG27-54

46.0%FG%50.0%

11-313PT6-21

35.0%3PT%29.0%

6-9FT12-19

67.0%FT%63.0%

25Rebounds37

8Offensive Rebounds14

11Assists15

9Turnovers14

10Steals6

4Blocks2

17Fouls13

Player Box Score

Baylor

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cameron Carr	G	40	8-15	5-10	3-4	6	3	1	0	24
Tounde Yessoufou	G	40	6-16	2-8	3-4	3	1	5	1	17
Obi Agbim	G	40	6-16	3-10	0-0	3	2	1	0	15
Caden Powell	C	31	4-4	0-0	0-0	2	2	1	2	8
Isaac Williams IV	G	20	1-4	1-2	0-0	1	2	1	0	3
Michael Rataj	G	20	1-2	0-1	0-1	7	1	1	0	2
James Nnaji	C	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	0

Iowa State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Milan Momcilovic	F	37	6-11	2-6	7-7	5	1	0	0	21
Joshua Jefferson	F	35	6-10	1-2	2-6	5	4	1	0	15
Tamin Lipsey	G	33	6-13	0-4	2-4	9	3	2	0	14
Nate Heise	G	26	3-5	2-4	0-0	2	1	1	0	8
Killyan Toure	G	25	2-6	0-2	1-2	2	2	1	1	5
Blake Buchanan	F	21	2-3	0-0	0-0	4	3	0	1	4
Jamarion Batemon	G	13	1-4	1-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Dominykas Pleta	F	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

62.7Possessions62.7

110.0Offensive Efficiency114.8

114.8Defensive Efficiency110.0

-4.8Net Efficiency4.8

55.3%Effective FG%55.6%

56.3%True Shooting %57.1%

14.5%Turnover Rate22.2%

15.8%Free Throw Rate35.2%

54.4%3-Point Rate38.9%

1.22Assist / Turnover1.07

Game Summary

Iowa State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 62.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.