Xavier

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

5.6%Xavier

94.4%St. John's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. John's -19.4

PROJECTED TOTAL157.7

MODEL MONEYLINESt. John's -1686

St. John's

30-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreXavier 69

Projected Total157.7

Projected ScoreSt. John's 89

Team Comparison

XavierMetricSt. John's

49.5MMH Power Index70.3

109.2Offensive Efficiency114.4

112.4Defensive Efficiency97.6

-3.2Net Efficiency16.8

5.6Strength of Schedule5.5

-7.4Last 10 Net Efficiency11.4

71.7Tempo70.9

51.7%Effective FG%51.3%

13.9%Turnover Rate14.3%

26.2%Offensive Rebound %34.8%

28.9%Free Throw Rate41.1%

-2.3Average Margin11.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. John's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. John's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.3–49.5), offensive efficiency (114.4–109.2), defensive efficiency (97.6–112.4), net efficiency (16.8–-3.2).

Xavier COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.6–5.5), shooting efficiency (51.7–51.3), ball security (13.9–14.3).

Final

Xavier

82—87

St. John's

St. John's by 5 • 82.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

XavierTEAM STATSt. John's

34-76FG28-66

45.0%FG%42.0%

5-173PT3-13

29.0%3PT%23.0%

9-17FT28-41

53.0%FT%68.0%

40Rebounds48

10Offensive Rebounds13

11Assists17

9Turnovers10

5Steals6

3Blocks3

30Fouls15

Player Box Score

Xavier

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tre Carroll	F	36	9-21	1-4	2-3	8	4	0	1	21
Jovan Milicevic	F	24	5-12	1-4	2-4	4	1	2	1	13
Filip Borovicanin	F	39	5-11	1-3	1-2	10	1	0	0	12
Malik Messina-Moore	G	31	3-8	1-1	4-6	4	1	0	0	11
Anthony Robinson	F	19	5-6	0-0	0-2	4	1	0	1	10
All Wright	G	29	4-9	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	8
Isaiah Walker	G	22	3-3	1-1	0-0	3	2	1	0	7
Roddie Anderson III	G	20	0-5	0-2	0-0	3	0	1	0	0
Pape N'Diaye	F	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

St. John's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zuby Ejiofor	F	40	8-11	0-0	9-13	7	5	2	1	25
Bryce Hopkins	F	36	5-11	0-1	9-11	9	2	2	0	19
Dylan Darling	G	34	5-9	0-3	6-11	5	4	1	0	16
Oziyah Sellers	G	37	4-11	1-4	2-2	3	1	0	0	11
Dillon Mitchell	F	42	2-12	0-0	0-2	12	3	1	1	4
Joson Sanon	G	15	1-4	0-2	2-2	3	1	0	0	4
Ian Jackson	G	11	1-3	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Sadiku Ibine Ayo	F	4	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Ruben Prey	F	5	1-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Kelvin Odih	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

82.8Possessions82.8

99.0Offensive Efficiency105.1

105.1Defensive Efficiency99.0

-6.0Net Efficiency6.0

48.0%Effective FG%44.7%

48.8%True Shooting %50.9%

10.8%Turnover Rate12.1%

22.4%Free Throw Rate62.1%

22.4%3-Point Rate19.7%

1.22Assist / Turnover1.70

Game Summary

St. John's won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 82.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.