NC State

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.6%NC State

78.4%Louisville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLouisville -9.3

PROJECTED TOTAL162.1

MODEL MONEYLINELouisville -363

Louisville

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNC State 76

Projected Total162.1

Projected ScoreLouisville 86

Team Comparison

NC StateMetricLouisville

60.1MMH Power Index67.1

118.4Offensive Efficiency118.6

108.6Defensive Efficiency102.2

9.8Net Efficiency16.4

6.4Strength of Schedule6.0

-11.9Last 10 Net Efficiency1.4

70.2Tempo71.0

55.1%Effective FG%56.9%

13.1%Turnover Rate16.8%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

35.7%Free Throw Rate34.1%

6.9Average Margin11.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Louisville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLouisville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (67.1–60.1), offensive efficiency (118.6–118.4), defensive efficiency (102.2–108.6), net efficiency (16.4–9.8).

NC State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.4–6.0), ball security (13.1–16.8), free throw rate (35.7–34.1).

Final

NC State

77—118

Louisville

Louisville by 41 • 80.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NC StateTEAM STATLouisville

28-68FG39-65

41.0%FG%60.0%

4-223PT18-30

18.0%3PT%60.0%

17-19FT22-27

89.0%FT%81.0%

28Rebounds42

6Offensive Rebounds8

10Assists21

10Turnovers10

6Steals6

2Blocks3

17Fouls16

Player Box Score

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ven-Allen Lubin	F	26	7-10	0-1	6-7	6	0	0	1	20
Tre Holloman	G	30	7-13	1-5	4-4	3	0	0	0	19
Quadir Copeland	G	21	4-10	0-2	2-2	4	3	0	0	10
Darrion Williams	F	28	3-13	2-7	0-0	5	2	3	0	8
Matt Able	G	28	2-6	1-2	3-4	7	1	2	0	8
Musa Sagnia	F	14	2-5	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Alyn Breed	G	6	1-3	0-1	2-2	1	2	0	0	4
Terrance Arceneaux	G	17	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	1	2
Scottie Ebube	C	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Paul McNeil Jr.	G	26	0-5	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mikel Brown Jr.	G	34	14-23	10-16	7-7	9	2	3	0	45
Ryan Conwell	G	29	10-14	5-6	6-7	7	6	1	1	31
J'Vonne Hadley	G	22	4-5	0-0	1-4	3	0	0	0	9
Isaac McKneely	G	26	2-6	2-5	2-2	2	2	0	0	8
Sananda Fru	F	18	3-3	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	1	6
Khani Rooths	F	15	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	0	4
Adrian Wooley	G	11	1-2	0-0	2-2	2	2	0	0	4
Kobe Rodgers	G	11	0-1	0-0	4-5	6	2	1	0	4
Cole Sherman	G	1	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
Aly Khalifa	C	12	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	4	0	0	2
Kasean Pryor	F	9	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Vangelis Zougris	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Will Hanke	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Spencer Legg	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

80.4Possessions80.4

95.8Offensive Efficiency146.8

146.8Defensive Efficiency95.8

-51.0Net Efficiency51.0

44.1%Effective FG%73.8%

50.0%True Shooting %75.8%

12.3%Turnover Rate12.5%

27.9%Free Throw Rate41.5%

32.4%3-Point Rate46.2%

1.00Assist / Turnover2.10

Game Summary

Louisville won by 41 points. The game played at approximately 80.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.