Duke

35-3

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

95.1%Duke

4.9%Pittsburgh

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -17.8

PROJECTED TOTAL144.2

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -1941

Pittsburgh

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDuke 81

Projected Total144.2

Projected ScorePittsburgh 63

Team Comparison

DukeMetricPittsburgh

81.7MMH Power Index50.5

122.2Offensive Efficiency108.4

95.2Defensive Efficiency110.4

27.0Net Efficiency-2.0

7.8Strength of Schedule5.5

18.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.9

66.8Tempo65.0

56.9%Effective FG%51.4%

15.9%Turnover Rate17.3%

38.2%Offensive Rebound %33.1%

39.0%Free Throw Rate31.2%

18.0Average Margin-1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–50.5), offensive efficiency (122.2–108.4), defensive efficiency (95.2–110.4), net efficiency (27.0–-2.0).

Final

Duke

70—54

Pittsburgh

Duke by 16 • 61.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DukeTEAM STATPittsburgh

28-51FG21-54

55.0%FG%39.0%

9-233PT9-33

39.0%3PT%27.0%

5-8FT3-8

63.0%FT%38.0%

37Rebounds23

8Offensive Rebounds7

16Assists14

13Turnovers12

6Steals11

2Blocks2

12Fouls9

Player Box Score

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Evans	G	25	8-10	5-6	0-0	2	1	0	0	21
Cameron Boozer	F	38	6-9	1-2	4-4	10	4	0	1	17
Caleb Foster	G	35	6-11	1-3	1-2	8	5	0	0	14
Cayden Boozer	G	23	3-5	0-1	0-0	2	3	2	0	6
Darren Harris	G	14	2-4	1-3	0-2	0	0	0	0	5
Dame Sarr	G	28	1-6	1-6	0-0	7	2	2	1	3
Maliq Brown	F	24	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	2	0	2
Nikolas Khamenia	G	13	1-4	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	2

Pittsburgh

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Roman Siulepa	F	39	6-15	4-11	3-6	4	3	1	1	19
Barry Dunning Jr.	G	35	7-14	3-8	0-0	6	1	3	0	17
Damarco Minor	G	39	2-6	2-6	0-0	5	3	2	0	6
Cameron Corhen	F	35	3-6	0-1	0-0	3	3	2	1	6
Omari Witherspoon	G	31	2-8	0-3	0-1	2	3	3	0	4
Nojus Indrusaitis	G	21	1-5	0-4	0-1	0	1	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

61.3Possessions61.3

114.2Offensive Efficiency88.1

88.1Defensive Efficiency114.2

26.1Net Efficiency-26.1

63.7%Effective FG%47.2%

63.9%True Shooting %46.7%

21.7%Turnover Rate19.1%

15.7%Free Throw Rate14.8%

45.1%3-Point Rate61.1%

1.23Assist / Turnover1.17

Game Summary

Duke won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 61.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.