Wisconsin

24-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.6%Wisconsin

86.4%Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -12.5

PROJECTED TOTAL158.7

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -635

Illinois

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWisconsin 73

Projected Total158.7

Projected ScoreIllinois 86

Team Comparison

WisconsinMetricIllinois

64.5MMH Power Index76.5

118.6Offensive Efficiency125.0

108.8Defensive Efficiency103.3

9.8Net Efficiency21.7

6.7Strength of Schedule6.7

5.6Last 10 Net Efficiency12.7

69.9Tempo66.5

54.6%Effective FG%54.8%

12.8%Turnover Rate13.1%

28.7%Offensive Rebound %39.3%

32.5%Free Throw Rate33.8%

6.9Average Margin14.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–64.5), offensive efficiency (125.0–118.6), defensive efficiency (103.3–108.8), net efficiency (21.7–9.8).

Wisconsin COUNTERS WITHball security (12.8–13.1).

Final

Wisconsin

92—90

Illinois

Wisconsin by 2 • 73.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

WisconsinTEAM STATIllinois

33-76FG32-60

43.0%FG%53.0%

16-363PT15-33

44.0%3PT%45.0%

10-14FT11-19

71.0%FT%58.0%

35Rebounds38

14Offensive Rebounds8

17Assists15

4Turnovers13

8Steals—

3Blocks6

17Fouls12

Player Box Score

Wisconsin

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Boyd	G	39	10-19	3-5	2-3	2	5	2	0	25
John Blackwell	G	43	9-22	5-11	1-2	3	4	1	1	24
Austin Rapp	F	31	6-11	4-7	2-3	5	3	2	1	18
Braeden Carrington	G	22	2-5	2-3	2-2	4	0	0	0	8
Aleksas Bieliauskas	F	20	2-4	2-4	1-2	4	0	0	0	7
Andrew Rohde	G	23	2-6	0-2	2-2	4	3	3	0	6
Nolan Winter	F	36	2-8	0-3	0-0	11	1	0	1	4
Jack Janicki	G	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Will Garlock	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	BLK	PTS
Keaton Wagler	G	44	12-23	5-10	5-8	1	7	0	34
Tomislav Ivisic	C	37	8-13	3-6	0-2	11	3	1	19
David Mirkovic	F	33	3-7	3-6	3-6	6	1	1	12
Jake Davis	F	37	3-6	2-5	3-3	2	3	1	11
Ben Humrichous	F	43	4-6	2-4	0-0	7	1	0	10
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	30	2-5	0-2	0-0	9	0	3	4
Brandon Lee	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.4Possessions73.4

125.3Offensive Efficiency122.6

122.6Defensive Efficiency125.3

2.7Net Efficiency-2.7

53.9%Effective FG%65.8%

55.7%True Shooting %65.2%

5.5%Turnover Rate17.6%

18.4%Free Throw Rate31.7%

47.4%3-Point Rate55.0%

4.25Assist / Turnover1.15

Game Summary

Wisconsin won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 73.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.