North Carolina

24-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.8%North Carolina

63.2%Miami

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMiami -4.7

PROJECTED TOTAL154.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMiami -172

Miami

26-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 75

Projected Total154.6

Projected ScoreMiami 80

Team Comparison

North CarolinaMetricMiami

65.2MMH Power Index65.5

115.5Offensive Efficiency117.8

103.8Defensive Efficiency103.0

11.7Net Efficiency14.8

7.6Strength of Schedule3.6

-1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency3.6

69.0Tempo69.2

54.6%Effective FG%55.5%

13.9%Turnover Rate16.2%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %37.3%

38.1%Free Throw Rate37.9%

8.1Average Margin10.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Miami HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMiami holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.5–65.2), offensive efficiency (117.8–115.5), defensive efficiency (103.0–103.8), net efficiency (14.8–11.7).

North Carolina COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.6–3.6), ball security (13.9–16.2), free throw rate (38.1–37.9).

Final

North Carolina

66—75

Miami

Miami by 9 • 69.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North CarolinaTEAM STATMiami

25-63FG29-62

40.0%FG%47.0%

8-273PT3-13

30.0%3PT%23.0%

8-10FT14-23

80.0%FT%61.0%

35Rebounds41

9Offensive Rebounds12

16Assists15

11Turnovers8

5Steals7

3Blocks5

18Fouls9

Player Box Score

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jarin Stevenson	F	26	6-10	1-3	0-0	6	0	0	0	13
Caleb Wilson	F	26	4-10	0-1	4-6	6	0	0	3	12
Henri Veesaar	C	33	5-12	1-4	0-0	6	2	1	0	11
Kyan Evans	G	19	3-4	2-3	0-0	0	4	0	0	8
Luka Bogavac	G	11	2-5	2-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	6
Jonathan Powell	G	20	2-4	1-2	0-0	5	1	2	0	5
Seth Trimble	G	27	0-5	0-3	4-4	1	3	0	0	4
Jaydon Young	G	11	1-3	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Derek Dixon	G	20	1-9	0-6	0-0	0	4	1	0	2
Zayden High	F	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	0	2

Miami

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malik Reneau	F	35	5-11	1-1	5-9	10	4	3	0	16
Ernest Udeh Jr.	C	35	7-8	0-0	1-4	10	1	1	1	15
Tre Donaldson	G	36	6-16	0-4	2-2	6	5	1	1	14
Shelton Henderson	F	36	5-14	0-1	2-2	5	0	2	2	12
Dante Allen	G	33	4-8	0-2	1-3	2	4	0	0	9
Timotej Malovec	F	16	1-3	1-3	2-2	0	1	0	0	5
Noam Dovrat	G	7	1-2	1-2	1-1	1	0	0	0	4
Salih Altuntas	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.4Possessions69.4

95.1Offensive Efficiency108.1

108.1Defensive Efficiency95.1

-13.0Net Efficiency13.0

46.0%Effective FG%49.2%

48.7%True Shooting %51.4%

15.8%Turnover Rate11.6%

15.9%Free Throw Rate37.1%

42.9%3-Point Rate21.0%

1.45Assist / Turnover1.88

Game Summary

Miami won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 69.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.