Iowa State

28-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

78.5%Iowa State

21.5%TCU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIowa State -7.3

PROJECTED TOTAL150.0

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa State -365

TCU

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIowa State 79

Projected Total150.0

Projected ScoreTCU 71

Team Comparison

Iowa StateMetricTCU

75.9MMH Power Index59.7

119.3Offensive Efficiency110.2

96.0Defensive Efficiency102.7

23.3Net Efficiency7.5

4.9Strength of Schedule4.6

17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency2.2

68.4Tempo70.2

56.1%Effective FG%50.5%

15.0%Turnover Rate15.3%

35.5%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

35.2%Free Throw Rate38.3%

15.9Average Margin5.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (75.9–59.7), offensive efficiency (119.3–110.2), defensive efficiency (96.0–102.7), net efficiency (23.3–7.5).

TCU COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (38.3–35.2).

Final

Iowa State

55—62

TCU

TCU by 7 • 68.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Iowa StateTEAM STATTCU

24-58FG21-52

41.0%FG%40.0%

5-223PT5-18

23.0%3PT%28.0%

2-8FT15-23

25.0%FT%65.0%

32Rebounds36

10Offensive Rebounds10

20Assists13

17Turnovers15

8Steals12

5Blocks6

21Fouls13

Player Box Score

Iowa State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joshua Jefferson	F	38	5-15	1-3	1-2	9	9	3	2	12
Tamin Lipsey	G	36	6-10	0-3	0-3	4	5	0	0	12
Milan Momcilovic	F	36	4-12	3-10	0-0	5	2	0	0	11
Blake Buchanan	F	16	3-6	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	2	6
Killyan Toure	G	26	2-4	1-2	0-2	2	0	3	1	5
Dominykas Pleta	F	13	2-5	0-0	1-1	2	1	2	0	5
Nate Heise	G	25	2-5	0-3	0-0	5	2	0	0	4
Jamarion Batemon	G	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Eric Mulder	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

TCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Micah Robinson	F	29	6-9	1-1	4-4	5	0	2	1	17
Tanner Toolson	G	27	3-8	1-3	10-15	10	1	3	0	17
Jayden Pierre	G	33	4-11	1-5	0-0	3	3	3	0	9
David Punch	F	31	4-8	0-1	0-2	2	4	1	2	8
Liutauras Lelevicius	G	22	2-6	2-5	0-0	5	0	1	0	6
Xavier Edmonds	F	29	2-6	0-1	1-2	7	1	2	3	5
Brock Harding	G	27	0-4	0-2	0-0	2	4	0	0	0
Vianney Salatchoum	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jace Posey	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.4Possessions68.4

80.4Offensive Efficiency90.6

90.6Defensive Efficiency80.4

-10.2Net Efficiency10.2

45.7%Effective FG%45.2%

44.5%True Shooting %49.3%

24.7%Turnover Rate22.1%

13.8%Free Throw Rate44.2%

37.9%3-Point Rate34.6%

1.18Assist / Turnover0.87

Game Summary

TCU won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 68.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.