Michigan

36-3

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

91.1%Michigan

8.9%Northwestern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan -14.8

PROJECTED TOTAL153.7

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan -1024

Northwestern

15-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMichigan 84

Projected Total153.7

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 69

Team Comparison

MichiganMetricNorthwestern

80.9MMH Power Index55.4

122.3Offensive Efficiency111.6

97.0Defensive Efficiency109.8

25.3Net Efficiency1.8

8.7Strength of Schedule5.6

17.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.7

71.8Tempo65.6

58.8%Effective FG%51.9%

16.4%Turnover Rate13.0%

34.6%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

38.9%Free Throw Rate34.8%

18.1Average Margin1.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (80.9–55.4), offensive efficiency (122.3–111.6), defensive efficiency (97.0–109.8), net efficiency (25.3–1.8).

Northwestern COUNTERS WITHball security (13.0–16.4).

Final

Michigan

87—75

Northwestern

Michigan by 12 • 74.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MichiganTEAM STATNorthwestern

30-69FG28-70

43.0%FG%40.0%

8-293PT6-25

28.0%3PT%24.0%

19-27FT13-14

70.0%FT%93.0%

47Rebounds30

17Offensive Rebounds12

21Assists14

12Turnovers8

6Steals7

8Blocks7

14Fouls22

Player Box Score

Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
L.J. Cason	G	25	5-8	1-3	7-9	1	3	4	0	18
Yaxel Lendeborg	F	37	6-12	0-4	3-4	12	2	0	2	15
Morez Johnson Jr.	F	29	5-8	0-1	2-3	9	1	1	3	12
Aday Mara	C	27	5-10	0-0	2-5	7	7	0	3	12
Trey McKenney	G	25	3-10	2-7	4-4	5	0	1	0	12
Elliot Cadeau	G	22	3-9	3-6	0-0	1	7	0	0	9
Nimari Burnett	G	13	2-6	2-5	0-0	1	1	0	0	6
Roddy Gayle Jr.	G	15	1-4	0-1	1-2	2	0	0	0	3
Will Tschetter	F	7	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jayden Reid	G	28	7-12	2-5	4-4	1	3	0	1	20
Nick Martinelli	F	39	5-22	1-7	7-7	8	2	1	0	18
Arrinten Page	F	26	5-11	1-5	0-0	5	1	2	2	11
Tre Singleton	F	25	3-5	1-2	2-3	4	0	0	1	9
Jake West	G	35	3-10	0-4	0-0	1	5	2	0	6
Angelo Ciaravino	G	20	2-5	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	1	4
Tyler Kropp	F	14	2-4	0-1	0-0	3	2	1	2	4
Jordan Clayton	G	13	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

74.8Possessions74.8

116.3Offensive Efficiency100.3

100.3Defensive Efficiency116.3

16.0Net Efficiency-16.0

49.3%Effective FG%44.3%

53.2%True Shooting %48.9%

15.6%Turnover Rate11.0%

39.1%Free Throw Rate20.0%

42.0%3-Point Rate35.7%

1.75Assist / Turnover1.75

Game Summary

Michigan won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 74.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.