Northern Iowa

23-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.5%Northern Iowa

64.5%Belmont

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBelmont -5.2

PROJECTED TOTAL144.5

MODEL MONEYLINEBelmont -182

Belmont

26-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Iowa 70

Projected Total144.5

Projected ScoreBelmont 75

Team Comparison

Northern IowaMetricBelmont

61MMH Power Index61.8

108.4Offensive Efficiency118.6

96.4Defensive Efficiency103.7

12.0Net Efficiency14.9

2.2Strength of Schedule-0.2

13.9Last 10 Net Efficiency10.0

64.1Tempo70.7

54.6%Effective FG%60.7%

14.4%Turnover Rate17.8%

21.9%Offensive Rebound %28.8%

26.2%Free Throw Rate32.7%

7.7Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Belmont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBelmont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.8–61.0), offensive efficiency (118.6–108.4), net efficiency (14.9–12.0), shooting efficiency (60.7–54.6).

Northern Iowa COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (96.4–103.7), strength of schedule (2.2–-0.2), recent form (13.9–10.0).

Final

Northern Iowa

86—91

Belmont

Belmont by 5 • 71.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern IowaTEAM STATBelmont

27-55FG31-54

49.0%FG%57.0%

9-243PT14-30

38.0%3PT%47.0%

23-24FT15-18

96.0%FT%83.0%

26Rebounds26

5Offensive Rebounds3

14Assists19

10Turnovers11

8Steals7

2Blocks2

18Fouls17

Player Box Score

Northern Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Leon Bond III	F	35	7-12	3-5	4-4	7	2	3	1	21
Trey Campbell	G	34	6-16	2-9	5-5	3	3	3	0	19
Max Weisbrod	G	25	5-9	3-7	5-5	3	0	0	0	18
Will Hornseth	F	33	4-8	0-1	7-8	2	7	1	1	15
Kyle Pock	F	22	3-5	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	7
Tristan Smith	F	17	2-2	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	0	6
Ben Schwieger	F	23	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	0
Geon Hutchins	G	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Ismael Diouf	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Belmont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Lundblade	G	38	9-14	7-12	6-6	3	0	0	0	31
Sam Orme	F	33	6-10	2-4	1-2	3	3	1	1	15
Brigham Rogers	F	23	4-6	0-0	1-2	5	5	0	0	9
Aidan Noyes	F	20	3-5	3-5	0-0	0	0	0	0	9
Jabez Jenkins	G	19	2-3	1-1	3-4	6	1	1	1	8
Eoin Dillon	F	15	2-5	0-2	4-4	2	1	0	0	8
Jack Smiley	G	17	3-7	1-4	0-0	2	3	1	0	7
Isaiah West	G	23	2-4	0-2	0-0	1	3	3	0	4
Drew Scharnowski	F	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	3	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.0Possessions71.0

121.1Offensive Efficiency128.2

128.2Defensive Efficiency121.1

-7.0Net Efficiency7.0

57.3%Effective FG%70.4%

64.8%True Shooting %72.7%

14.0%Turnover Rate15.6%

43.6%Free Throw Rate33.3%

43.6%3-Point Rate55.6%

1.40Assist / Turnover1.73

Game Summary

Belmont won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 71.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.