UMBC

24-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

89.2%UMBC

10.8%Maine

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUMBC -11.9

PROJECTED TOTAL133.2

MODEL MONEYLINEUMBC -826

Maine

8-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUMBC 73

Projected Total133.2

Projected ScoreMaine 61

Team Comparison

UMBCMetricMaine

59.1MMH Power Index35.6

113.0Offensive Efficiency95.6

99.0Defensive Efficiency104.6

14.0Net Efficiency-9.0

-5.6Strength of Schedule-1.8

24.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.8

65.5Tempo65.4

54.3%Effective FG%50.5%

14.3%Turnover Rate19.0%

25.2%Offensive Rebound %19.4%

34.1%Free Throw Rate38.5%

9.1Average Margin-5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UMBC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUMBC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–35.6), offensive efficiency (113.0–95.6), defensive efficiency (99.0–104.6), net efficiency (14.0–-9.0).

Maine COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.8–-5.6), free throw rate (38.5–34.1).

Final

UMBC

78—62

Maine

UMBC by 16 • 67.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UMBCTEAM STATMaine

28-62FG19-51

45.0%FG%37.0%

3-173PT7-22

18.0%3PT%32.0%

19-22FT17-25

86.0%FT%68.0%

43Rebounds29

11Offensive Rebounds5

12Assists12

6Turnovers10

3Steals2

2Blocks2

24Fouls19

Player Box Score

UMBC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ace Valentine	G	32	8-11	0-1	0-0	8	3	0	0	16
Caden Diggs	F	22	6-10	1-3	2-2	3	1	1	0	15
Josh Odunowo	F	28	2-7	0-0	8-9	8	1	0	0	12
Jose Roberto Tanchyn	F	16	4-4	1-1	2-2	4	0	0	0	11
DJ Armstrong Jr.	G	29	4-11	1-5	0-0	3	3	0	1	9
Riley Jacobs	F	17	3-4	0-0	3-4	1	0	0	0	9
Jah'Likai King	G	28	0-7	0-4	4-4	1	1	1	1	4
Cougar Downing	G	13	1-2	0-1	0-1	3	2	1	0	2
Paul Greene	F	9	0-2	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	0	0
Tim Eze	F	3	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Jake Stout	F	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Saahil Thakkar	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Maine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TJ Biel	F	31	8-14	5-8	2-4	6	1	0	1	23
Bashir N'Galang	G	4	3-4	0-1	4-6	3	0	0	0	10
Mekhi Gray	G	30	1-10	1-5	4-4	2	3	0	0	7
Logan Carey	G	33	3-8	0-2	0-3	4	4	1	0	6
Yanis Bamba	F	14	2-4	0-1	2-2	0	0	1	0	6
Amare Allen	F	23	1-5	0-2	3-4	3	1	0	0	5
Ryan Mabrey	G	21	1-3	1-2	2-2	3	0	0	0	5
Caleb Crawford	G	21	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	3	0	1	0
Ace Flagg	F	17	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Emmitt Byther	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Isaac Bonilla	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.7Possessions67.7

115.2Offensive Efficiency91.6

91.6Defensive Efficiency115.2

23.6Net Efficiency-23.6

47.6%Effective FG%44.1%

53.8%True Shooting %49.3%

8.9%Turnover Rate14.7%

35.5%Free Throw Rate49.0%

27.4%3-Point Rate43.1%

2.00Assist / Turnover1.20

Game Summary

UMBC won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 67.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.