Elon

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

11.6%Elon

88.4%UNC Wilmington

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUNC Wilmington -13.6

PROJECTED TOTAL152.1

MODEL MONEYLINEUNC Wilmington -762

UNC Wilmington

27-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreElon 69

Projected Total152.1

Projected ScoreUNC Wilmington 83

Team Comparison

ElonMetricUNC Wilmington

45.5MMH Power Index59.2

113.0Offensive Efficiency114.1

112.7Defensive Efficiency101.7

0.3Net Efficiency12.4

-1.4Strength of Schedule-1.5

-13.7Last 10 Net Efficiency5.5

69.1Tempo66.9

52.6%Effective FG%51.1%

15.6%Turnover Rate14.8%

33.4%Offensive Rebound %35.8%

34.0%Free Throw Rate41.7%

0.3Average Margin8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UNC Wilmington HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUNC Wilmington holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.2–45.5), offensive efficiency (114.1–113.0), defensive efficiency (101.7–112.7), net efficiency (12.4–0.3).

Elon COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.4–-1.5), shooting efficiency (52.6–51.1).

Final

Elon

54—65

UNC Wilmington

UNC Wilmington by 11 • 60.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ElonTEAM STATUNC Wilmington

20-58FG24-52

34.0%FG%46.0%

5-263PT11-25

19.0%3PT%44.0%

9-14FT6-12

64.0%FT%50.0%

36Rebounds40

12Offensive Rebounds10

9Assists16

8Turnovers12

5Steals3

1Blocks1

12Fouls14

Player Box Score

Elon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaac Harrell	F	35	4-6	2-4	2-2	7	0	2	0	12
Randall Pettus II	G	32	3-12	1-6	2-3	3	0	0	0	9
Caleb Middleton	C	14	4-5	0-0	1-2	6	0	0	0	9
Bryson Cokley	G	37	2-9	1-4	1-2	6	4	1	0	6
Chandler Cuthrell	F	20	2-9	0-3	2-4	4	0	0	1	6
Ned Hull	G	27	2-7	1-5	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Ja'Juan Carr	G	20	2-6	0-2	1-1	2	3	0	0	5
Iker Garmendia	F	7	1-4	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
DeMarco Johnson	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	2	0	0

UNC Wilmington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Christian May	G	32	6-9	3-5	0-1	4	1	1	0	15
Noah Ross	G	36	5-10	0-3	2-2	9	4	0	0	12
Nolan Hodge	G	36	4-11	3-7	0-0	5	3	1	0	11
Patrick Wessler	F	22	4-6	0-0	2-5	8	0	0	1	10
Greedy Williams	G	36	2-6	2-4	1-2	8	6	0	0	7
Jahnathan Lamothe	G	14	2-5	2-4	0-0	1	1	0	0	6
Madison Durr	G	18	1-5	1-2	1-2	2	1	1	0	4
Makoi Mabor Makoi	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.2Possessions60.2

89.7Offensive Efficiency108.0

108.0Defensive Efficiency89.7

-18.3Net Efficiency18.3

38.8%Effective FG%56.7%

41.8%True Shooting %56.3%

13.2%Turnover Rate20.1%

24.1%Free Throw Rate23.1%

44.8%3-Point Rate48.1%

1.13Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

UNC Wilmington won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 60.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.