UC Irvine

23-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

69.4%UC Irvine

30.6%Cal Poly

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Irvine -5.8

PROJECTED TOTAL160.0

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Irvine -227

Cal Poly

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Irvine 83

Projected Total160.0

Projected ScoreCal Poly 77

Team Comparison

UC IrvineMetricCal Poly

58.4MMH Power Index46.5

106.9Offensive Efficiency107.2

95.0Defensive Efficiency111.0

11.9Net Efficiency-3.8

-1.0Strength of Schedule1.7

10.0Last 10 Net Efficiency2.4

72.3Tempo76.6

50.7%Effective FG%52.2%

17.6%Turnover Rate19.8%

33.1%Offensive Rebound %29.9%

36.5%Free Throw Rate35.8%

8.6Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Irvine HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Irvine holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.4–46.5), defensive efficiency (95.0–111.0), net efficiency (11.9–-3.8), recent form (10.0–2.4).

Cal Poly COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (107.2–106.9), strength of schedule (1.7–-1.0), shooting efficiency (52.2–50.7).

Final

UC Irvine

73—79

Cal Poly

Cal Poly by 6 • 79.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC IrvineTEAM STATCal Poly

26-70FG26-66

37.0%FG%39.0%

11-283PT14-38

39.0%3PT%37.0%

10-14FT13-18

71.0%FT%72.0%

40Rebounds51

13Offensive Rebounds17

16Assists18

17Turnovers21

14Steals10

6Blocks3

18Fouls14

Player Box Score

UC Irvine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Derin Saran	G	34	7-16	3-5	2-2	5	3	4	0	19
Jurian Dixon	G	33	6-19	6-14	1-3	1	0	2	0	19
Kyle Evans	F	32	5-11	0-0	1-1	10	1	0	3	11
Andre Henry	G	25	3-10	1-6	3-5	3	2	3	0	10
Tama Isaac	G	29	3-5	1-1	1-1	6	6	4	0	8
Akiva McBirney-Griffin	F	10	1-2	0-0	2-2	2	1	1	2	4
Harrison Carrington	F	13	1-4	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	0	2
Jovan Jester Jr.	G	15	0-3	0-2	0-0	3	2	0	0	0
Nes Emeneke	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Ben Egbo	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Guzman Vasilic	G	31	6-9	4-7	2-2	5	4	1	0	18
Austin Goode	F	23	7-17	3-11	0-0	10	2	2	1	17
Cayden Ward	G	27	4-8	1-4	6-11	10	3	0	1	15
Peter Bandelj	G	31	4-11	4-8	2-2	4	2	2	0	14
Troy Plumtree	F	18	3-5	1-1	0-0	1	4	2	1	7
Hamad Mousa	G	33	2-8	1-2	0-0	8	1	2	0	5
Jackson Mosley	PG	14	0-4	0-3	3-3	1	0	0	0	3
Jess Esso Essis	G	16	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	1	1	0	0
Jake Davis	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

79.7Possessions79.7

91.6Offensive Efficiency99.1

99.1Defensive Efficiency91.6

-7.5Net Efficiency7.5

45.0%Effective FG%50.0%

47.6%True Shooting %53.0%

21.1%Turnover Rate26.7%

20.0%Free Throw Rate27.3%

40.0%3-Point Rate57.6%

0.94Assist / Turnover0.86

Game Summary

Cal Poly won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 79.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.