Sacramento State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.4%Sacramento State

84.6%Northern Colorado

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Colorado -12.4

PROJECTED TOTAL163.6

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Colorado -549

Northern Colorado

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSacramento State 76

Projected Total163.6

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 88

Team Comparison

Sacramento StateMetricNorthern Colorado

43MMH Power Index53.7

106.1Offensive Efficiency116.0

112.0Defensive Efficiency107.6

-5.9Net Efficiency8.4

0.9Strength of Schedule-4.3

-7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency10.8

73.2Tempo71.1

48.5%Effective FG%56.9%

14.2%Turnover Rate15.3%

25.1%Offensive Rebound %27.9%

41.8%Free Throw Rate27.8%

-4.3Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Colorado HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Colorado holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–43.0), offensive efficiency (116.0–106.1), defensive efficiency (107.6–112.0), net efficiency (8.4–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.9–-4.3), ball security (14.2–15.3), free throw rate (41.8–27.8).

Final

Sacramento State

79—95

Northern Colorado

Northern Colorado by 16 • 79.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Sacramento StateTEAM STATNorthern Colorado

23-64FG37-66

36.0%FG%56.0%

7-263PT11-32

27.0%3PT%34.0%

26-31FT10-13

84.0%FT%77.0%

29Rebounds41

7Offensive Rebounds7

5Assists26

8Turnovers14

9Steals4

—Blocks4

14Fouls20

Player Box Score

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Prophet Johnson	G	38	7-20	1-5	8-9	6	3	3	23
Arman Madi	G	29	5-12	3-8	2-2	2	0	2	15
Jahni Summers	G	36	3-12	2-7	4-4	5	0	1	12
Shaqir O'Neal	F	25	3-5	1-2	2-2	2	1	1	9
Taj Glover	G	21	1-5	0-2	7-8	2	0	0	9
Mark Lavrenov	F	29	2-6	0-1	3-4	7	1	1	7
Romari Robinson	G	17	2-4	0-1	0-2	3	0	1	4
Jayden Teat	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brock Wisne	F	34	12-16	0-1	5-5	11	5	1	1	29
Quinn Denker	G	37	9-14	2-6	2-2	7	16	1	1	22
Zach Bloch	G	36	6-16	5-15	0-0	2	3	0	0	17
Ring Nyeri	F	32	4-7	1-2	3-6	11	1	0	2	12
Ibu Yamazaki	F	28	3-9	2-7	0-0	1	0	2	0	8
Egan Shields	C	12	2-2	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	4
Vincent Delano	G	15	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Ariik Mawien	G	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

79.5Possessions79.5

99.4Offensive Efficiency119.5

119.5Defensive Efficiency99.4

-20.1Net Efficiency20.1

41.4%Effective FG%64.4%

50.2%True Shooting %65.8%

10.0%Turnover Rate17.7%

48.4%Free Throw Rate19.7%

40.6%3-Point Rate48.5%

0.63Assist / Turnover1.86

Game Summary

Northern Colorado won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 79.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.