Portland State

20-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

72.6%Portland State

27.4%Northern Arizona

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPortland State -6.2

PROJECTED TOTAL148.8

MODEL MONEYLINEPortland State -265

Northern Arizona

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePortland State 78

Projected Total148.8

Projected ScoreNorthern Arizona 71

Team Comparison

Portland StateMetricNorthern Arizona

50.2MMH Power Index36.9

109.3Offensive Efficiency107.1

100.2Defensive Efficiency114.8

9.1Net Efficiency-7.7

-5.6Strength of Schedule-1.8

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.5

70.1Tempo66.6

51.7%Effective FG%53.5%

16.6%Turnover Rate15.8%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %24.0%

36.8%Free Throw Rate33.6%

6.4Average Margin-5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Portland State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPortland State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.2–36.9), offensive efficiency (109.3–107.1), defensive efficiency (100.2–114.8), net efficiency (9.1–-7.7).

Northern Arizona COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.8–-5.6), shooting efficiency (53.5–51.7), ball security (15.8–16.6).

Final

Portland State

77—68

Northern Arizona

Portland State by 9 • 63.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Portland StateTEAM STATNorthern Arizona

26-42FG24-56

62.0%FG%43.0%

3-93PT7-27

33.0%3PT%26.0%

22-27FT13-16

81.0%FT%81.0%

30Rebounds24

4Offensive Rebounds8

7Assists12

13Turnovers7

4Steals5

1Blocks4

15Fouls21

Player Box Score

Portland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terri Miller Jr.	F	30	9-15	2-5	7-9	7	3	0	0	27
Jaylin Henderson	G	36	9-12	0-0	6-7	2	2	1	0	24
Tre-Vaughn Minott	C	40	4-4	0-0	6-7	6	0	0	0	14
Kelcy Phipps	G	23	2-3	1-1	1-2	3	0	1	0	6
Keyon Kensie Jr.	G	35	2-6	0-1	0-0	6	1	0	1	4
Alex Dupre	G	7	0-0	0-0	2-2	2	1	1	0	2
Isaiah Williams	G	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Brycen Long	G	12	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Mozae Downing-Rivers	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Sebastian Tidor	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northern Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Karl Poom	F	26	8-12	2-3	3-5	6	0	0	1	21
Diego Campisano	F	25	5-12	4-9	4-4	1	1	0	0	18
Ryan Abelman	G	31	3-9	1-5	1-1	4	2	2	0	8
Traivar Jackson	F	28	3-5	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	1	8
Chris Komin	G	34	2-8	0-3	3-4	5	3	2	1	7
Brennan Peterson	G	38	3-6	0-3	0-0	0	6	1	0	6
Oakland Fort	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Arne Osojnik	G	6	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Kavon Bradford	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.2Possessions63.2

121.8Offensive Efficiency107.6

107.6Defensive Efficiency121.8

14.2Net Efficiency-14.2

65.5%Effective FG%49.1%

70.2%True Shooting %53.5%

20.4%Turnover Rate11.2%

64.3%Free Throw Rate28.6%

21.4%3-Point Rate48.2%

0.54Assist / Turnover1.71

Game Summary

Portland State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 63.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.