Bellarmine

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.9%Bellarmine

82.1%Central Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Arkansas -11.6

PROJECTED TOTAL163.0

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Arkansas -459

Central Arkansas

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBellarmine 76

Projected Total163.0

Projected ScoreCentral Arkansas 87

Team Comparison

BellarmineMetricCentral Arkansas

44.9MMH Power Index54

119.6Offensive Efficiency113.9

122.1Defensive Efficiency105.2

-2.5Net Efficiency8.7

-2.8Strength of Schedule-3.9

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency9.8

66.9Tempo71.0

60.0%Effective FG%54.3%

15.3%Turnover Rate15.3%

22.7%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

35.3%Free Throw Rate30.7%

-1.7Average Margin6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Arkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.0–44.9), defensive efficiency (105.2–122.1), net efficiency (8.7–-2.5), recent form (9.8–0.3).

Bellarmine COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (119.6–113.9), strength of schedule (-2.8–-3.9), shooting efficiency (60.0–54.3).

Final

Bellarmine

76—84

Central Arkansas

Central Arkansas by 8 • 65.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BellarmineTEAM STATCentral Arkansas

27-50FG28-59

54.0%FG%47.0%

15-293PT12-29

52.0%3PT%41.0%

7-8FT16-24

88.0%FT%67.0%

27Rebounds28

4Offensive Rebounds10

20Assists22

16Turnovers5

2Steals13

1Blocks4

18Fouls10

Player Box Score

Bellarmine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kenyon Goodin	G	40	6-9	6-8	0-0	1	5	0	0	18
Jack Karasinski	F	31	5-10	3-7	4-4	4	3	1	1	17
Brian Waddell	F	32	4-6	2-3	2-2	2	3	0	0	12
Tyler Doyle	G	35	5-11	0-2	0-0	3	8	0	0	10
Donovan Hunter	F	15	2-5	1-4	1-2	0	1	0	0	6
Myles Watkins	G	4	2-3	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Sam Donald	F	30	1-4	1-3	0-0	9	0	1	0	3
Michael Wilson Jr.	F	3	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Jacob Wassler	C	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Darrius Bolden	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Central Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Camren Hunter	G	34	6-14	1-6	5-6	8	5	4	1	18
Ty Robinson	G	24	5-8	4-6	1-2	1	4	2	0	15
Luke Moore	G	32	5-11	4-6	0-0	2	1	1	0	14
Javion Guy-King	G	32	5-12	1-5	1-1	5	5	3	0	12
Cole McCormick	F	25	3-6	1-3	3-6	3	0	0	0	10
Malchiah Marable	F	23	2-3	0-0	5-8	7	2	1	3	9
Truman Byrne	F	12	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	2	1	0	3
Parker Applegate	G	3	1-2	0-0	1-1	0	0	1	0	3
Harry Beauchamp	G	14	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	3	0	0	0
Tyler Lee	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.6Possessions65.6

115.9Offensive Efficiency128.0

128.0Defensive Efficiency115.9

-12.2Net Efficiency12.2

69.0%Effective FG%57.6%

70.6%True Shooting %59.7%

24.3%Turnover Rate7.6%

16.0%Free Throw Rate40.7%

58.0%3-Point Rate49.2%

1.25Assist / Turnover4.40

Game Summary

Central Arkansas won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 65.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.