Louisiana Tech

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.5%Louisiana Tech

64.5%Missouri State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMissouri State -3.6

PROJECTED TOTAL141.7

MODEL MONEYLINEMissouri State -182

Missouri State

16-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLouisiana Tech 69

Projected Total141.7

Projected ScoreMissouri State 73

Team Comparison

Louisiana TechMetricMissouri State

50.3MMH Power Index51.1

106.1Offensive Efficiency110.5

98.7Defensive Efficiency108.4

7.4Net Efficiency2.1

-5.1Strength of Schedule0.5

5.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.1

65.9Tempo67.9

49.4%Effective FG%51.8%

18.5%Turnover Rate16.4%

37.3%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

33.5%Free Throw Rate42.9%

4.9Average Margin1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Missouri State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMissouri State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.1–50.3), offensive efficiency (110.5–106.1), strength of schedule (0.5–-5.1), shooting efficiency (51.8–49.4).

Louisiana Tech COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (98.7–108.4), net efficiency (7.4–2.1), recent form (5.4–-2.1).

Final

Louisiana Tech

79—78

Missouri State

Louisiana Tech by 1 • 86.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Louisiana TechTEAM STATMissouri State

31-71FG26-75

44.0%FG%35.0%

5-203PT8-31

25.0%3PT%26.0%

12-18FT18-26

67.0%FT%69.0%

42Rebounds47

13Offensive Rebounds20

12Assists11

20Turnovers18

9Steals10

12Blocks8

20Fouls15

Player Box Score

Louisiana Tech

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Avery Thomas II	F	48	7-11	4-5	1-4	9	0	3	1	19
Kaden Cooper	G	37	6-14	1-6	4-4	13	0	2	0	17
Scooter Williams	G	45	5-15	0-3	5-6	6	4	1	2	15
DJ Dudley	G	18	4-7	0-1	0-2	1	2	0	0	8
AJ Bates	G	38	2-12	0-2	2-2	2	6	1	0	6
Melian Martinez	C	17	3-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	3	6
Will Allen	F	26	2-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	4	4
Jaylen Fenner	G	14	2-4	0-2	0-0	3	0	1	0	4
Sir Issac Herron	F	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	2	0

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kobi Williams	G	37	8-19	6-15	2-2	3	1	1	0	24
Michael Osei-Bonsu	F	43	9-16	0-0	4-8	13	1	4	5	22
Keith Palek III	F	45	6-17	0-3	6-6	4	2	2	0	18
Zaxton King	G	31	1-5	1-4	3-6	3	2	1	0	6
Antwan Burnett	G	32	2-6	1-2	0-0	9	1	1	0	5
Tyrique Brooks	G	2	0-2	0-2	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Trey Williams Jr.	G	36	0-7	0-4	1-2	4	4	1	2	1
Melakih Cunningham	G	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Darrion Sutton	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Cameron Boone	F	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Logan Epes	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

86.0Possessions86.0

91.9Offensive Efficiency90.7

90.7Defensive Efficiency91.9

1.2Net Efficiency-1.2

47.2%Effective FG%40.0%

49.7%True Shooting %44.6%

23.1%Turnover Rate21.1%

25.4%Free Throw Rate34.7%

28.2%3-Point Rate41.3%

0.60Assist / Turnover0.61

Game Summary

Louisiana Tech won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 86.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.