Central Connecticut

18-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

51.5%Central Connecticut

48.5%New Haven

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNew Haven -0.4

PROJECTED TOTAL137.0

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Connecticut -106

New Haven

14-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Connecticut 68

Projected Total137.0

Projected ScoreNew Haven 69

Team Comparison

Central ConnecticutMetricNew Haven

44.4MMH Power Index39.3

111.4Offensive Efficiency101.1

107.0Defensive Efficiency103.2

4.4Net Efficiency-2.1

-7.7Strength of Schedule-6.8

-0.5Last 10 Net Efficiency2.7

66.3Tempo64.2

54.0%Effective FG%50.4%

15.9%Turnover Rate17.2%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %23.6%

31.3%Free Throw Rate31.8%

2.9Average Margin-1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Connecticut HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Connecticut holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.4–39.3), offensive efficiency (111.4–101.1), net efficiency (4.4–-2.1), shooting efficiency (54.0–50.4).

New Haven COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.2–107.0), strength of schedule (-6.8–-7.7), recent form (2.7–-0.5).

Final

Central Connecticut

81—76

New Haven

Central Connecticut by 5 • 69.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central ConnecticutTEAM STATNew Haven

28-49FG25-55

57.0%FG%45.0%

9-163PT5-17

56.0%3PT%29.0%

16-22FT21-22

73.0%FT%95.0%

28Rebounds29

5Offensive Rebounds8

8Assists14

15Turnovers11

6Steals10

1Blocks—

16Fouls16

Player Box Score

Central Connecticut

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darin Smith Jr.	F	33	13-20	3-5	11-11	4	0	1	0	40
Jay Rodgers	G	31	5-9	1-2	1-2	5	7	0	0	12
Roddy Jones	G	22	4-5	4-5	0-0	1	0	2	0	12
Max Frazier	F	31	3-5	0-1	0-1	6	0	1	1	6
Daniel James	F	22	1-2	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	0	4
Elijah Parker	G	19	1-1	0-0	2-6	2	1	0	0	4
Melo Sanchez	G	34	1-5	1-3	0-0	2	0	2	0	3
Jayden Mott	F	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Ashton Reynolds	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

New Haven

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Jabri Fitzpatrick	G	32	6-8	2-3	6-6	2	6	1	20
Andre Pasha	F	36	6-18	0-3	4-4	4	1	1	16
Maison Adeleye	G	21	5-8	1-3	4-4	3	0	3	15
Najimi George	G	34	4-9	0-2	0-0	3	2	1	8
Kheni Briggs	G	20	1-4	1-3	5-6	0	0	1	8
Aidan Losiewicz	G	7	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	3
Zoumana Traore	G	24	1-3	0-1	0-0	4	3	2	2
Stefano Faloppa	F	17	0-1	0-0	2-2	7	2	0	2
Kyle Kearson	G	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	2
Teshaun Steele	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.0Possessions69.0

117.4Offensive Efficiency110.1

110.1Defensive Efficiency117.4

7.2Net Efficiency-7.2

66.3%Effective FG%50.0%

68.1%True Shooting %58.1%

21.6%Turnover Rate16.1%

44.9%Free Throw Rate40.0%

32.7%3-Point Rate30.9%

0.53Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

Central Connecticut won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 69.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.