Jacksonville

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.3%Jacksonville

52.7%Stetson

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADStetson -0.6

PROJECTED TOTAL151.9

MODEL MONEYLINEStetson -111

Stetson

12-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJacksonville 76

Projected Total151.9

Projected ScoreStetson 76

Team Comparison

JacksonvilleMetricStetson

43.6MMH Power Index40

109.8Offensive Efficiency107.2

110.3Defensive Efficiency115.9

-0.5Net Efficiency-8.7

-4.8Strength of Schedule-1.0

-3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.9

66.6Tempo68.7

51.7%Effective FG%53.8%

16.9%Turnover Rate18.3%

33.6%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

33.9%Free Throw Rate33.6%

-0.3Average Margin-6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Jacksonville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMJacksonville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.6–40.0), offensive efficiency (109.8–107.2), defensive efficiency (110.3–115.9), net efficiency (-0.5–-8.7).

Stetson COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.0–-4.8), recent form (-2.9–-3.2), shooting efficiency (53.8–51.7).

Final

Jacksonville

62—67

Stetson

Stetson by 5 • 62.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

JacksonvilleTEAM STATStetson

22-60FG21-46

37.0%FG%46.0%

4-223PT7-19

18.0%3PT%37.0%

14-19FT18-32

74.0%FT%56.0%

41Rebounds34

15Offensive Rebounds8

8Assists12

9Turnovers9

4Steals7

2Blocks1

25Fouls16

Player Box Score

Jacksonville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Hayden Wood	G	31	5-13	2-8	2-2	1	1	1	0	14
Jaylen Jones	G	29	5-12	0-3	4-4	8	2	2	0	14
Chris Arias	G	25	4-11	1-6	2-3	3	1	0	0	11
Donovan Rivers	F	24	3-6	0-0	5-8	6	0	0	2	11
Jason Thirdkill Jr.	F	28	1-5	1-4	1-2	7	0	0	0	4
Allen Udemadu	F	17	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Evan Sterck	G	13	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	2	1	0	4
Chris Lockett Jr.	G	22	0-6	0-1	0-0	6	1	0	0	0
Charles Caporaso	C	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Stetson

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ethan Copeland	G	33	4-8	3-5	6-6	2	1	1	0	17
Jake Johnson	G	37	3-8	2-5	3-4	4	1	0	0	11
Matar Diop	F	28	4-8	0-1	2-4	5	1	2	1	10
Finley Sheridan	F	17	3-5	2-2	1-2	0	1	0	0	9
Collin Kuhl	F	20	2-4	0-0	3-8	7	1	1	0	7
Calvin Sirmans III	G	14	2-4	0-2	0-2	2	2	1	0	4
J.R. Leonard	G	11	2-2	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0	4
Daniel Macgregor	G	27	0-3	0-1	3-4	2	5	2	0	3
Janusz Ratowski	F	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Alex Doyle	F	9	0-3	0-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.6Possessions62.6

99.0Offensive Efficiency107.0

107.0Defensive Efficiency99.0

-8.0Net Efficiency8.0

40.0%Effective FG%53.3%

44.9%True Shooting %54.7%

14.3%Turnover Rate14.5%

31.7%Free Throw Rate69.6%

36.7%3-Point Rate41.3%

0.89Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Stetson won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 62.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.