Tennessee State

23-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

81.9%Tennessee State

18.1%Southern Indiana

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTennessee State -8.3

PROJECTED TOTAL146.8

MODEL MONEYLINETennessee State -452

Southern Indiana

7-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTennessee State 78

Projected Total146.8

Projected ScoreSouthern Indiana 69

Team Comparison

Tennessee StateMetricSouthern Indiana

55.4MMH Power Index37.3

110.9Offensive Efficiency99.2

102.7Defensive Efficiency106.5

8.2Net Efficiency-7.3

-3.1Strength of Schedule-2.0

13.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-14.1

72.4Tempo66.7

50.9%Effective FG%45.0%

17.0%Turnover Rate17.4%

34.8%Offensive Rebound %32.2%

34.7%Free Throw Rate37.9%

5.9Average Margin-4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–37.3), offensive efficiency (110.9–99.2), defensive efficiency (102.7–106.5), net efficiency (8.2–-7.3).

Southern Indiana COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.0–-3.1), free throw rate (37.9–34.7).

Final

Tennessee State

73—71

Southern Indiana

Tennessee State by 2 • 66.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Tennessee StateTEAM STATSouthern Indiana

22-56FG26-54

39.0%FG%48.0%

5-113PT4-15

45.0%3PT%27.0%

24-28FT15-34

86.0%FT%44.0%

40Rebounds36

17Offensive Rebounds16

6Assists7

14Turnovers12

6Steals10

3Blocks3

24Fouls20

Player Box Score

Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Travis Harper II	G	35	5-12	3-5	9-10	7	1	2	0	22
Aaron Nkrumah	G	36	5-15	1-3	6-8	6	1	2	1	17
Dante Harris	G	33	5-12	0-0	4-4	1	0	0	0	14
Jalen Pitre	F	23	3-3	0-0	3-4	7	1	2	1	9
Carlous Williams	F	31	2-5	0-1	2-2	5	1	0	1	6
Khalil London	G	6	1-4	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
JC Brooks	F	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	2
Antoine Lorick III	F	12	0-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Jabrion Spikes	G	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Damon Howard Jr.	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Southern Indiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cardell Bailey	G	33	10-18	1-6	4-5	7	1	3	0	25
Ismail Habib	G	25	3-7	2-3	5-11	3	0	1	0	13
Tolu Samuels	F	40	3-5	0-0	3-7	12	0	0	0	9
Amaree Brown	G	17	3-8	0-2	1-2	0	0	1	0	7
Ola Ajiboye	F	31	3-5	0-0	0-3	3	1	1	1	6
Sheridan Sharp	G	22	2-6	0-0	2-6	1	4	3	1	6
Josiah Dunham	G	16	2-4	1-3	0-0	0	0	1	0	5
Devin Curtis	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Steven Clay	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.3Possessions66.3

110.1Offensive Efficiency107.1

107.1Defensive Efficiency110.1

3.0Net Efficiency-3.0

43.8%Effective FG%51.9%

52.7%True Shooting %50.6%

21.1%Turnover Rate18.1%

50.0%Free Throw Rate63.0%

19.6%3-Point Rate27.8%

0.43Assist / Turnover0.58

Game Summary

Tennessee State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 66.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.