Little Rock

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

81.9%Little Rock

18.1%Western Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLittle Rock -7.9

PROJECTED TOTAL143.6

MODEL MONEYLINELittle Rock -452

Western Illinois

5-26

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLittle Rock 76

Projected Total143.6

Projected ScoreWestern Illinois 68

Team Comparison

Little RockMetricWestern Illinois

44MMH Power Index25.9

103.0Offensive Efficiency96.2

108.2Defensive Efficiency113.9

-5.2Net Efficiency-17.7

0.5Strength of Schedule-2.4

-0.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-26.3

68.5Tempo67.5

50.3%Effective FG%45.4%

18.7%Turnover Rate17.5%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

28.6%Free Throw Rate37.5%

-3.6Average Margin-11.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Little Rock HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLittle Rock holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.0–25.9), offensive efficiency (103.0–96.2), defensive efficiency (108.2–113.9), net efficiency (-5.2–-17.7).

Western Illinois COUNTERS WITHball security (17.5–18.7), free throw rate (37.5–28.6).

Final

Little Rock

77—58

Western Illinois

Little Rock by 19 • 70.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Little RockTEAM STATWestern Illinois

31-69FG22-58

45.0%FG%38.0%

8-193PT6-24

42.0%3PT%25.0%

7-13FT8-18

54.0%FT%44.0%

45Rebounds32

12Offensive Rebounds5

17Assists8

7Turnovers10

7Steals3

3Blocks3

18Fouls13

Player Box Score

Little Rock

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cameron Wallace	F	36	7-14	0-0	2-3	9	2	1	0	16
Truman Claytor IV	F	20	6-13	2-4	2-2	4	0	2	0	16
Braxton Bayless	G	37	5-5	3-3	1-2	5	3	1	0	14
Johnathan Lawson	G	39	5-14	1-6	2-2	14	10	1	2	13
Tuongthach Gatkek	F	24	4-8	0-0	0-1	7	1	2	0	8
Kachi Nzeh	F	17	2-10	1-5	0-0	2	0	0	0	5
Caleb Pennyfeather	F	15	2-4	1-1	0-3	4	1	0	1	5
Tracy Steele Jr.	G	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Joseph Thomas	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Western Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Lucas Lorenzen	G	32	7-11	4-7	1-2	3	1	0	0	19
Isaiah Griffin	F	25	5-11	0-1	1-5	6	0	0	1	11
Antwaun Massey	F	20	3-5	0-0	2-5	5	0	1	1	8
Danny Stephens	G	26	3-9	1-6	0-0	4	0	1	0	7
Steven Tipton	G	2	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Makai Kvamme	G	26	1-5	0-2	0-0	5	1	1	0	2
Marcus Pigram	G	21	1-5	0-3	0-0	2	4	0	0	2
Francis Okwuosah	F	19	1-4	0-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Goanar Biliew	F	17	0-3	0-0	2-4	3	0	0	0	2
Ifiok Peter	F	6	0-1	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	1	2
Nick Hittle	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jake Edwards	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Tyran Cook	G	2	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.9Possessions70.9

108.6Offensive Efficiency81.8

81.8Defensive Efficiency108.6

26.8Net Efficiency-26.8

50.7%Effective FG%43.1%

51.2%True Shooting %43.6%

10.0%Turnover Rate14.0%

18.8%Free Throw Rate31.0%

27.5%3-Point Rate41.4%

2.43Assist / Turnover0.80

Game Summary

Little Rock won by 19 points. The game played at approximately 70.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.