UC Davis

19-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.6%UC Davis

74.4%UC San Diego

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC San Diego -7.7

PROJECTED TOTAL151.2

MODEL MONEYLINEUC San Diego -291

UC San Diego

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Davis 72

Projected Total151.2

Projected ScoreUC San Diego 79

Team Comparison

UC DavisMetricUC San Diego

48.4MMH Power Index53.4

107.2Offensive Efficiency108.4

103.7Defensive Efficiency100.7

3.5Net Efficiency7.7

-1.9Strength of Schedule-1.3

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency5.4

72.4Tempo69.8

52.3%Effective FG%53.1%

17.7%Turnover Rate16.4%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %26.9%

41.5%Free Throw Rate33.2%

2.5Average Margin5.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC San Diego HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC San Diego holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.4–48.4), offensive efficiency (108.4–107.2), defensive efficiency (100.7–103.7), net efficiency (7.7–3.5).

UC Davis COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (41.5–33.2).

Final

UC Davis

51—68

UC San Diego

UC San Diego by 17 • 70.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC DavisTEAM STATUC San Diego

22-62FG27-50

35.0%FG%54.0%

6-203PT7-17

30.0%3PT%41.0%

1-7FT7-9

14.0%FT%78.0%

29Rebounds40

9Offensive Rebounds4

11Assists13

13Turnovers21

14Steals5

3Blocks8

9Fouls15

Player Box Score

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Wilson	G	25	6-15	1-2	0-1	3	3	2	0	13
Connor Sevilla	G	26	3-8	1-3	0-0	1	0	3	0	7
Carl Daughtery Jr.	G	17	3-7	1-4	0-2	4	0	0	0	7
Chase Rawlins	G	9	3-3	1-1	0-1	0	2	1	0	7
Niko Rocak	F	12	2-3	2-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	6
Omer Suljanovic	F	19	2-7	0-3	1-2	4	0	0	0	5
Jalen Stokes	G	23	2-5	0-1	0-1	3	1	4	0	4
Brayden Fagbemi	G	30	1-5	0-1	0-0	3	3	3	0	2
Nils Cooper	G	17	0-4	0-1	0-0	3	0	1	0	0
Isaiah Chappell	F	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	1	0
Cyril Franklin Jr.	G	9	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	2	0
Abdullah Amzil	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UC San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bol Dengdit	F	29	8-12	4-6	0-1	7	1	0	2	20
Hudson Mayes	G	34	6-9	0-0	6-7	12	3	2	1	18
Tom Beattie	G	32	4-6	2-3	0-0	4	3	0	0	10
Jaden Vance	F	21	4-8	1-2	1-1	2	1	0	1	10
Aidan Burke	G	28	4-7	0-3	0-0	4	0	3	2	8
Leo Beath	F	25	1-5	0-2	0-0	4	1	0	2	2
Trap Johnson	G	15	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Alex Chaikin	G	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Ryder Elisaldez	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cade Pendleton	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.3Possessions70.3

72.5Offensive Efficiency96.7

96.7Defensive Efficiency72.5

-24.2Net Efficiency24.2

40.3%Effective FG%61.0%

39.0%True Shooting %62.6%

18.8%Turnover Rate29.5%

11.3%Free Throw Rate18.0%

32.3%3-Point Rate34.0%

0.85Assist / Turnover0.62

Game Summary

UC San Diego won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 70.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.