Michigan State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

52.0%Michigan State

48.0%Wisconsin

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWisconsin -0.1

PROJECTED TOTAL155.7

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -108

Wisconsin

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMichigan State 78

Projected Total155.7

Projected ScoreWisconsin 78

Team Comparison

Michigan StateMetricWisconsin

69.8MMH Power Index64.5

117.0Offensive Efficiency118.6

101.5Defensive Efficiency108.8

15.5Net Efficiency9.8

7.2Strength of Schedule6.7

9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency5.6

67.3Tempo69.9

54.1%Effective FG%54.6%

17.2%Turnover Rate12.8%

37.7%Offensive Rebound %28.7%

36.6%Free Throw Rate32.5%

10.5Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–64.5), defensive efficiency (101.5–108.8), net efficiency (15.5–9.8), strength of schedule (7.2–6.7).

Wisconsin COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (118.6–117.0), shooting efficiency (54.6–54.1), ball security (12.8–17.2).

Final

Michigan State

71—92

Wisconsin

Wisconsin by 21 • 68.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Michigan StateTEAM STATWisconsin

24-66FG30-62

36.0%FG%48.0%

8-273PT15-35

30.0%3PT%43.0%

15-16FT17-23

94.0%FT%74.0%

38Rebounds38

14Offensive Rebounds11

13Assists14

9Turnovers6

4Steals6

2Blocks3

18Fouls15

Player Box Score

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Coen Carr	F	31	6-10	1-2	6-7	3	0	0	0	19
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	32	3-12	1-4	7-7	1	12	1	0	14
Kur Teng	G	19	4-11	2-6	2-2	6	0	0	0	12
Jordan Scott	F	27	4-13	3-8	0-0	4	0	2	0	11
Carson Cooper	C	19	3-6	0-0	0-0	8	0	0	0	6
Jaxon Kohler	F	30	2-6	1-4	0-0	7	0	0	2	5
Cam Ward	F	19	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Jesse McCulloch	F	9	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Denham Wojcik	G	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Trey Fort	G	6	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Wisconsin

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Boyd	G	32	10-17	5-7	4-5	3	4	0	0	29
John Blackwell	G	27	6-14	4-9	8-8	4	2	2	0	24
Nolan Winter	F	32	4-7	0-2	2-5	11	1	1	0	10
Braeden Carrington	G	19	3-6	2-4	1-2	3	1	0	0	9
Austin Rapp	F	23	2-6	1-3	2-2	3	2	0	0	7
Andrew Rohde	G	29	2-6	2-6	0-0	1	3	2	0	6
Jack Janicki	G	11	1-1	1-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Aleksas Bieliauskas	F	18	1-4	0-3	0-1	5	1	0	3	2
Zach Kinziger	G	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Will Garlock	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Riccardo Greppi	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jack Robison	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Hayden Jones	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Isaac Gard	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.3Possessions68.3

104.0Offensive Efficiency134.7

134.7Defensive Efficiency104.0

-30.7Net Efficiency30.7

42.4%Effective FG%60.5%

48.2%True Shooting %63.1%

13.1%Turnover Rate8.8%

24.2%Free Throw Rate37.1%

40.9%3-Point Rate56.5%

1.44Assist / Turnover2.33

Game Summary

Wisconsin won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 68.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.