St. John's

30-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

78.3%St. John's

21.7%Providence

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. John's -7.9

PROJECTED TOTAL164.1

MODEL MONEYLINESt. John's -361

Providence

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSt. John's 86

Projected Total164.1

Projected ScoreProvidence 78

Team Comparison

St. John'sMetricProvidence

70.3MMH Power Index54.2

114.4Offensive Efficiency115.0

97.6Defensive Efficiency113.2

16.8Net Efficiency1.8

5.5Strength of Schedule4.0

11.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.3

70.9Tempo74.2

51.3%Effective FG%55.0%

14.3%Turnover Rate16.7%

34.8%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

41.1%Free Throw Rate37.3%

11.9Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. John's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. John's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.3–54.2), defensive efficiency (97.6–113.2), net efficiency (16.8–1.8), strength of schedule (5.5–4.0).

Providence COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.0–114.4), shooting efficiency (55.0–51.3).

Final

St. John's

79—69

Providence

St. John's by 10 • 75.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

St. John'sTEAM STATProvidence

26-68FG22-66

38.0%FG%33.0%

6-213PT5-23

29.0%3PT%22.0%

21-30FT20-24

70.0%FT%83.0%

41Rebounds49

11Offensive Rebounds16

13Assists8

4Turnovers14

11Steals3

4Blocks6

18Fouls21

Player Box Score

St. John's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dylan Darling	G	27	6-11	3-5	8-9	8	0	3	0	23
Zuby Ejiofor	F	32	4-7	0-1	6-9	4	3	1	0	14
Oziyah Sellers	G	32	5-11	0-2	1-2	3	1	0	0	11
Bryce Hopkins	F	35	3-14	0-2	3-4	9	1	2	0	9
Ian Jackson	G	15	3-8	1-4	2-2	1	0	0	1	9
Dillon Mitchell	F	24	2-6	0-1	1-2	6	6	3	0	5
Joson Sanon	G	18	2-6	1-3	0-2	2	0	1	1	5
Lefteris Liotopoulos	G	8	1-3	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Ruben Prey	F	8	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	2	0
Kelvin Odih	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Stefan Vaaks	G	34	5-19	3-12	7-8	5	3	1	0	20
Ryan Mela	G	38	5-13	0-2	4-4	9	3	1	1	14
Jaylin Sellers	G	20	5-15	1-5	2-2	7	0	0	0	13
Jamier Jones	F	26	3-11	0-2	6-8	2	1	1	1	12
Oswin Erhunmwunse	F	23	3-3	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	2	7
Duncan Powell	F	16	1-2	1-2	0-0	5	1	0	1	3
Nilavan Daniels	G	19	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Cole Hargrove	F	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Peteris Pinnis	F	10	0-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Jack Williams	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.4Possessions75.4

104.8Offensive Efficiency91.5

91.5Defensive Efficiency104.8

13.3Net Efficiency-13.3

42.6%Effective FG%37.1%

48.0%True Shooting %44.6%

5.3%Turnover Rate18.6%

44.1%Free Throw Rate36.4%

30.9%3-Point Rate34.8%

3.25Assist / Turnover0.57

Game Summary

St. John's won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 75.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.