Louisville

24-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

60.0%Louisville

40.0%Baylor

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLouisville -2.5

PROJECTED TOTAL161.0

MODEL MONEYLINELouisville -150

Baylor

16-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLouisville 82

Projected Total161.0

Projected ScoreBaylor 79

Team Comparison

LouisvilleMetricBaylor

67.1MMH Power Index58.9

118.6Offensive Efficiency116.7

102.2Defensive Efficiency109.5

16.4Net Efficiency7.2

6.0Strength of Schedule4.0

1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.2

71.0Tempo69.7

56.9%Effective FG%54.4%

16.8%Turnover Rate16.4%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %37.5%

34.1%Free Throw Rate34.8%

11.7Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Louisville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLouisville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (67.1–58.9), offensive efficiency (118.6–116.7), defensive efficiency (102.2–109.5), net efficiency (16.4–7.2).

Baylor COUNTERS WITHball security (16.4–16.8), offensive rebounding (37.5–32.3), free throw rate (34.8–34.1).

Final

Louisville

82—71

Baylor

Louisville by 11 • 67.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LouisvilleTEAM STATBaylor

28-50FG22-60

56.0%FG%37.0%

8-183PT2-22

44.0%3PT%9.0%

18-20FT25-30

90.0%FT%83.0%

29Rebounds30

6Offensive Rebounds15

18Assists10

14Turnovers9

6Steals7

4Blocks5

20Fouls17

Player Box Score

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mikel Brown Jr.	G	35	8-14	4-5	9-9	3	6	5	0	29
J'Vonne Hadley	G	31	7-10	2-2	4-4	5	3	1	0	20
Ryan Conwell	G	31	4-10	1-5	5-7	4	4	0	0	14
Sananda Fru	F	27	4-4	0-0	0-0	7	1	0	2	8
Adrian Wooley	G	10	3-4	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	7
Isaac McKneely	G	19	1-4	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Kasean Pryor	F	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Khani Rooths	F	24	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	2	0
Aly Khalifa	C	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	3	0	0	0
Kobe Rodgers	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Baylor

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaac Williams IV	G	29	8-12	0-3	4-5	2	3	1	1	20
Tounde Yessoufou	G	36	5-16	1-7	5-6	4	1	4	0	16
Michael Rataj	G	27	5-9	0-1	1-2	4	1	1	0	11
Caden Powell	C	22	1-3	0-0	6-8	3	0	0	0	8
James Nnaji	C	18	2-2	0-0	3-3	4	0	0	2	7
Cameron Carr	G	35	1-11	1-7	2-2	3	3	0	2	5
Obi Agbim	G	33	0-7	0-4	4-4	5	2	1	0	4

Advanced Game Stats

67.9Possessions67.9

120.8Offensive Efficiency104.6

104.6Defensive Efficiency120.8

16.2Net Efficiency-16.2

64.0%Effective FG%38.3%

68.9%True Shooting %47.8%

20.7%Turnover Rate13.2%

40.0%Free Throw Rate50.0%

36.0%3-Point Rate36.7%

1.29Assist / Turnover1.11

Game Summary

Louisville won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 67.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.