Indiana

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

7.3%Indiana

92.7%Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -16.3

PROJECTED TOTAL153.4

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -1270

Illinois

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIndiana 69

Projected Total153.4

Projected ScoreIllinois 85

Team Comparison

IndianaMetricIllinois

58.2MMH Power Index76.5

116.0Offensive Efficiency125.0

107.1Defensive Efficiency103.3

8.9Net Efficiency21.7

5.2Strength of Schedule6.7

-7.7Last 10 Net Efficiency12.7

67.4Tempo66.5

56.0%Effective FG%54.8%

15.1%Turnover Rate13.1%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %39.3%

35.8%Free Throw Rate33.8%

6.0Average Margin14.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–58.2), offensive efficiency (125.0–116.0), defensive efficiency (103.3–107.1), net efficiency (21.7–8.9).

Indiana COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (56.0–54.8), free throw rate (35.8–33.8).

Final

Indiana

51—71

Illinois

Illinois by 20 • 56.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IndianaTEAM STATIllinois

20-49FG29-66

41.0%FG%44.0%

6-243PT7-31

25.0%3PT%23.0%

5-6FT6-7

83.0%FT%86.0%

25Rebounds38

4Offensive Rebounds15

10Assists11

9Turnovers2

1Steals7

1Blocks2

10Fouls10

Player Box Score

Indiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Lamar Wilkerson	G	39	8-14	2-7	3-3	3	1	0	0	21
Tucker DeVries	F	35	5-12	3-7	0-0	2	1	0	0	13
Sam Alexis	F	28	5-9	0-1	1-1	8	1	0	1	11
Jasai Miles	G	13	1-3	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Reed Bailey	F	12	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Nick Dorn	G	32	0-5	0-4	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Conor Enright	G	35	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	6	1	0	0
Tayton Conerway	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Trent Sisley	F	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Aleksa Ristic	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
David Mirkovic	F	37	10-16	3-6	2-2	7	3	1	0	25
Keaton Wagler	G	39	7-15	1-4	3-4	6	3	3	1	18
Tomislav Ivisic	C	27	6-11	1-6	1-1	6	1	0	1	14
Kylan Boswell	G	33	4-10	1-3	0-0	7	2	1	0	9
Jake Davis	F	25	1-4	1-4	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	13	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Ben Humrichous	F	26	0-7	0-6	0-0	8	1	2	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

56.6Possessions56.6

90.1Offensive Efficiency125.4

125.4Defensive Efficiency90.1

-35.3Net Efficiency35.3

46.9%Effective FG%49.2%

49.2%True Shooting %51.2%

15.8%Turnover Rate3.6%

12.2%Free Throw Rate10.6%

49.0%3-Point Rate47.0%

1.11Assist / Turnover5.50

Game Summary

Illinois won by 20 points. The game played at approximately 56.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.