North Carolina

24-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

51.5%North Carolina

48.5%NC State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNC State -1.0

PROJECTED TOTAL158.6

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Carolina -106

NC State

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 79

Projected Total158.6

Projected ScoreNC State 80

Team Comparison

North CarolinaMetricNC State

65.2MMH Power Index60.1

115.5Offensive Efficiency118.4

103.8Defensive Efficiency108.6

11.7Net Efficiency9.8

7.6Strength of Schedule6.4

-1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.9

69.0Tempo70.2

54.6%Effective FG%55.1%

13.9%Turnover Rate13.1%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

38.1%Free Throw Rate35.7%

8.1Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.2–60.1), defensive efficiency (103.8–108.6), net efficiency (11.7–9.8), strength of schedule (7.6–6.4).

NC State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (118.4–115.5), shooting efficiency (55.1–54.6), ball security (13.1–13.9).

Final

North Carolina

58—82

NC State

NC State by 24 • 64.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North CarolinaTEAM STATNC State

19-60FG31-64

32.0%FG%48.0%

5-333PT9-20

15.0%3PT%45.0%

15-21FT11-16

71.0%FT%69.0%

40Rebounds38

17Offensive Rebounds12

9Assists13

12Turnovers4

—Steals7

3Blocks3

16Fouls17

Player Box Score

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	BLK	PTS
Jarin Stevenson	F	35	4-7	0-3	5-5	9	1	1	13
Zayden High	F	30	4-6	0-1	5-8	10	1	2	13
Luka Bogavac	G	27	3-8	2-5	1-2	3	0	0	9
Jonathan Powell	G	27	3-8	1-4	2-2	5	0	0	9
Derek Dixon	G	21	2-12	1-9	0-0	3	2	0	5
Jaydon Young	G	16	2-6	1-5	0-0	2	1	0	5
Seth Trimble	G	27	1-9	0-3	2-4	3	1	0	4
Kyan Evans	G	15	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	3	0	0
Isaiah Denis	G	2	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quadir Copeland	G	32	7-16	0-0	6-8	6	7	4	0	20
Matt Able	G	31	6-10	5-7	2-2	6	0	1	0	19
Darrion Williams	F	16	6-10	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	13
Ven-Allen Lubin	F	28	5-6	0-0	2-4	6	2	1	0	12
Paul McNeil Jr.	G	31	4-6	2-4	0-0	7	0	0	0	10
Terrance Arceneaux	G	23	1-6	1-3	0-0	6	0	0	1	3
Musa Sagnia	F	13	1-3	0-0	1-2	2	0	1	2	3
Tre Holloman	G	17	1-5	0-2	0-0	2	2	0	0	2
Alyn Breed	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Jordan Snell	G	2	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.3Possessions64.3

90.2Offensive Efficiency127.5

127.5Defensive Efficiency90.2

-37.3Net Efficiency37.3

35.8%Effective FG%55.5%

41.4%True Shooting %57.3%

18.5%Turnover Rate6.3%

35.0%Free Throw Rate25.0%

55.0%3-Point Rate31.3%

0.75Assist / Turnover3.25

Game Summary

NC State won by 24 points. The game played at approximately 64.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.