Arkansas

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.0%Arkansas

63.0%Alabama

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAlabama -3.8

PROJECTED TOTAL180.1

MODEL MONEYLINEAlabama -170

Alabama

24-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas 88

Projected Total180.1

Projected ScoreAlabama 92

Team Comparison

ArkansasMetricAlabama

69.3MMH Power Index69.5

122.2Offensive Efficiency121.6

109.8Defensive Efficiency111.2

12.4Net Efficiency10.4

8.6Strength of Schedule9.4

3.4Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

73.8Tempo74.7

56.4%Effective FG%54.9%

12.2%Turnover Rate13.0%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

36.5%Free Throw Rate36.9%

9.2Average Margin7.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (122.2–121.6), defensive efficiency (109.8–111.2), net efficiency (12.4–10.4), shooting efficiency (56.4–54.9).

Alabama COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (69.5–69.3), strength of schedule (9.4–8.6), recent form (9.5–3.4).

Final

Arkansas

115—117

Alabama

Alabama by 2 • 87.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ArkansasTEAM STATAlabama

43-87FG40-71

49.0%FG%56.0%

13-263PT10-29

50.0%3PT%34.0%

16-19FT27-34

84.0%FT%79.0%

36Rebounds43

15Offensive Rebounds12

15Assists16

7Turnovers12

6Steals5

6Blocks1

26Fouls17

Player Box Score

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darius Acuff Jr.	G	50	16-27	6-10	11-12	5	5	1	1	49
Meleek Thomas	G	37	8-13	6-8	2-2	6	2	1	0	24
Billy Richmond III	G	34	10-19	0-0	0-0	6	2	0	0	20
Trevon Brazile	F	47	5-13	0-4	1-2	8	1	2	3	11
D.J. Wagner	G	35	3-8	1-4	1-2	1	5	2	0	8
Nick Pringle	F	23	1-3	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	1	3
Malique Ewin	F	20	0-4	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	1	0
Jaden Karuletwa	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Elmir Džafic	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Labaron Philon Jr.	G	41	11-21	3-8	10-13	2	7	0	0	35
Aiden Sherrell	F	39	10-13	0-0	6-7	13	1	0	0	26
Amari Allen	F	45	6-14	2-8	5-6	11	2	1	1	19
Aden Holloway	G	25	5-5	1-1	4-4	3	3	0	0	15
London Jemison	F	16	4-5	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	9
Latrell Wrightsell	G	40	2-7	1-5	2-4	2	3	3	0	7
Houston Mallette	G	29	2-3	2-3	0-0	4	0	1	0	6
Taylor Bol Bowen	F	10	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Noah Williamson	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jalil Bethea	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

87.6Possessions87.6

131.3Offensive Efficiency133.6

133.6Defensive Efficiency131.3

-2.3Net Efficiency2.3

56.9%Effective FG%63.4%

59.9%True Shooting %67.1%

8.0%Turnover Rate13.8%

21.8%Free Throw Rate47.9%

29.9%3-Point Rate40.8%

2.14Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Alabama won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 87.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.