Illinois

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

93.3%Illinois

6.7%USC

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -14.8

PROJECTED TOTAL157.4

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -1393

USC

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois 86

Projected Total157.4

Projected ScoreUSC 71

Team Comparison

IllinoisMetricUSC

76.5MMH Power Index48.3

125.0Offensive Efficiency108.5

103.3Defensive Efficiency107.6

21.7Net Efficiency0.9

6.7Strength of Schedule2.5

12.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.0

66.5Tempo72.4

54.8%Effective FG%50.7%

13.1%Turnover Rate17.2%

39.3%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

33.8%Free Throw Rate45.3%

14.5Average Margin0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–48.3), offensive efficiency (125.0–108.5), defensive efficiency (103.3–107.6), net efficiency (21.7–0.9).

USC COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (45.3–33.8).

Final

Illinois

101—65

USC

Illinois by 36 • 71.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IllinoisTEAM STATUSC

32-62FG23-62

52.0%FG%37.0%

13-293PT7-18

45.0%3PT%39.0%

24-26FT12-20

92.0%FT%60.0%

41Rebounds30

13Offensive Rebounds13

21Assists16

9Turnovers14

7Steals5

8Blocks2

19Fouls22

Player Box Score

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andrej Stojakovic	G	17	6-7	1-1	9-9	3	0	1	0	22
David Mirkovic	F	21	4-10	2-4	4-5	3	4	0	1	14
Kylan Boswell	G	28	5-13	1-6	1-2	5	8	2	0	12
Jake Davis	F	25	4-4	4-4	0-0	7	0	0	0	12
Ben Humrichous	F	28	3-6	3-6	2-2	6	1	0	1	11
Keaton Wagler	G	29	3-8	0-1	4-4	3	4	2	1	10
Tomislav Ivisic	C	21	3-6	2-5	2-2	4	2	0	1	10
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	20	2-4	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	4	4
Brandon Lee	G	4	1-1	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	4
Mihailo Petrovic	G	3	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	2
Blake Fagbemi	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
AJ Redd	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

USC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ezra Ausar	F	32	6-9	0-0	3-7	11	2	0	0	15
Jacob Cofie	F	35	5-12	2-3	2-3	5	3	1	0	14
Terrance Williams II	F	29	3-9	2-3	1-2	4	0	1	0	9
Alijah Arenas	G	18	2-7	0-2	4-6	0	2	1	0	8
Jordan Marsh	G	15	2-9	1-5	0-0	1	1	0	1	5
Kam Woods	G	33	2-7	0-1	0-0	4	7	2	0	4
Jaden Brownell	F	13	1-3	0-1	2-2	3	0	0	0	4
Jerry Easter II	G	9	1-4	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	1	3
Ryan Cornish	G	9	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Gabe Dynes	C	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.5Possessions71.5

141.3Offensive Efficiency90.9

90.9Defensive Efficiency141.3

50.3Net Efficiency-50.3

62.1%Effective FG%42.7%

67.9%True Shooting %45.5%

12.8%Turnover Rate19.3%

41.9%Free Throw Rate32.3%

46.8%3-Point Rate29.0%

2.33Assist / Turnover1.14

Game Summary

Illinois won by 36 points. The game played at approximately 71.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.