Chattanooga

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.4%Chattanooga

80.6%Mercer

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMercer -10.3

PROJECTED TOTAL158.3

MODEL MONEYLINEMercer -415

Mercer

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreChattanooga 74

Projected Total158.3

Projected ScoreMercer 84

Team Comparison

ChattanoogaMetricMercer

45.9MMH Power Index54.1

112.7Offensive Efficiency116.6

110.5Defensive Efficiency106.5

2.2Net Efficiency10.1

-4.4Strength of Schedule-4.4

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency1.2

68.1Tempo70.9

55.1%Effective FG%53.8%

14.1%Turnover Rate14.7%

23.5%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

29.2%Free Throw Rate38.9%

1.4Average Margin7.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Mercer HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMercer holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.1–45.9), offensive efficiency (116.6–112.7), defensive efficiency (106.5–110.5), net efficiency (10.1–2.2).

Chattanooga COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (55.1–53.8), ball security (14.1–14.7).

Final

Chattanooga

94—90

Mercer

Chattanooga by 4 • 64.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ChattanoogaTEAM STATMercer

35-57FG31-56

61.0%FG%55.0%

10-223PT12-23

45.0%3PT%52.0%

14-17FT16-27

82.0%FT%59.0%

33Rebounds25

9Offensive Rebounds9

14Assists10

8Turnovers6

5Steals3

—Blocks2

20Fouls16

Player Box Score

Chattanooga

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Jordan Frison	G	39	9-14	1-4	6-6	4	5	2	25
Brennan Watkins	G	35	7-10	3-5	2-2	5	2	0	19
Billy Smith	G	28	3-7	2-5	4-4	8	0	1	12
Tate Darner	G	25	2-5	2-4	2-4	2	1	0	8
Josh Bowman	F	8	4-5	0-0	0-1	1	2	0	8
Teddy Washington Jr.	G	29	3-7	1-3	0-0	5	1	1	7
Makai Richards	C	21	3-4	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	6
Collin Mulholland	F	11	3-4	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	6
Jikari Johnson	G	4	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	3

Mercer

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zaire Williams	G	33	9-14	7-11	2-2	2	0	2	0	27
Baraka Okojie	G	40	7-16	3-6	3-5	3	3	0	0	20
Armani Mighty	C	31	6-8	0-0	5-12	7	0	0	0	17
Brady Shoulders	G	35	3-6	0-3	4-4	3	2	1	0	10
Connor Serven	F	24	3-6	0-1	2-4	5	2	0	0	8
Quinton Perkins II	G	24	3-5	2-2	0-0	1	3	0	2	8
Kyle Cuffe Jr.	G	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Tristan Gross	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.9Possessions64.9

144.8Offensive Efficiency138.7

138.7Defensive Efficiency144.8

6.2Net Efficiency-6.2

70.2%Effective FG%66.1%

72.2%True Shooting %65.4%

12.5%Turnover Rate9.1%

29.8%Free Throw Rate48.2%

38.6%3-Point Rate41.1%

1.75Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

Chattanooga won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 64.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.