Texas State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

32.5%Texas State

67.5%South Alabama

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Alabama -5.4

PROJECTED TOTAL145.3

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Alabama -208

South Alabama

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTexas State 70

Projected Total145.3

Projected ScoreSouth Alabama 75

Team Comparison

Texas StateMetricSouth Alabama

49.4MMH Power Index51.4

107.7Offensive Efficiency110.3

103.4Defensive Efficiency103.9

4.3Net Efficiency6.4

-4.7Strength of Schedule-3.7

9.1Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

68.6Tempo67.4

51.3%Effective FG%53.2%

18.4%Turnover Rate12.8%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %24.9%

36.0%Free Throw Rate39.8%

2.9Average Margin4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Alabama HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Alabama holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–49.4), offensive efficiency (110.3–107.7), net efficiency (6.4–4.3), strength of schedule (-3.7–-4.7).

Texas State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.4–103.9), recent form (9.1–3.4), offensive rebounding (34.3–24.9).

Final

Texas State

90—82

South Alabama

Texas State by 8 • 72.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Texas StateTEAM STATSouth Alabama

28-58FG30-55

48.0%FG%55.0%

10-243PT9-21

42.0%3PT%43.0%

24-33FT13-19

73.0%FT%68.0%

37Rebounds26

11Offensive Rebounds2

19Assists16

11Turnovers10

6Steals9

3Blocks2

15Fouls23

Player Box Score

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DJ Hall	F	40	8-16	0-0	8-10	8	0	2	0	24
Franck Emmou	G	27	5-8	5-8	2-2	3	5	0	0	17
Robert Fields	C	22	4-4	0-0	7-10	8	0	1	0	15
Mark Drone	G	42	4-12	2-6	1-2	7	8	1	0	11
Jalen Bolden	G	30	3-7	2-4	0-1	1	0	0	0	8
Kaden Gumbs	G	23	3-7	1-5	0-0	3	3	1	0	7
Makai Willis	C	7	1-1	0-0	3-4	1	1	0	1	5
Tay Knox	C	21	0-1	0-0	3-4	4	1	0	2	3
Kyndall Davis	G	13	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	0

South Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chaze Harris	G	40	11-15	0-0	6-10	5	8	3	1	28
Adam Olsen	F	45	6-17	5-13	5-6	4	2	2	0	22
Jayden Cooper	G	42	8-12	3-5	0-1	2	0	1	0	19
Randy Brady	F	32	2-5	1-3	2-2	6	2	3	0	7
Stephen Williams	F	13	2-4	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	4
John Broom	G	18	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Hantz Louis-Jeune	G	27	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
JJ Wheat	G	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	3	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.9Possessions72.9

123.5Offensive Efficiency112.5

112.5Defensive Efficiency123.5

11.0Net Efficiency-11.0

56.9%Effective FG%62.7%

61.1%True Shooting %64.0%

14.9%Turnover Rate13.9%

56.9%Free Throw Rate34.5%

41.4%3-Point Rate38.2%

1.73Assist / Turnover1.60

Game Summary

Texas State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 72.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.