Montana State

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

46.7%Montana State

53.3%Weber State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWeber State -1.6

PROJECTED TOTAL156.9

MODEL MONEYLINEWeber State -114

Weber State

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMontana State 78

Projected Total156.9

Projected ScoreWeber State 79

Team Comparison

Montana StateMetricWeber State

53.6MMH Power Index50.2

114.4Offensive Efficiency113.6

104.9Defensive Efficiency108.2

9.5Net Efficiency5.4

-3.7Strength of Schedule-3.4

4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

68.1Tempo71.5

55.1%Effective FG%52.6%

14.7%Turnover Rate15.5%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

30.7%Free Throw Rate38.3%

6.5Average Margin3.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–50.2), offensive efficiency (114.4–113.6), defensive efficiency (104.9–108.2), net efficiency (9.5–5.4).

Weber State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-3.4–-3.7), offensive rebounding (32.6–28.1), free throw rate (38.3–30.7).

Final

Montana State

79—82

Weber State

Weber State by 3 • 72.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Montana StateTEAM STATWeber State

29-58FG32-71

50.0%FG%45.0%

7-243PT4-17

29.0%3PT%24.0%

14-18FT14-19

78.0%FT%74.0%

33Rebounds42

6Offensive Rebounds16

11Assists14

12Turnovers9

6Steals11

5Blocks1

15Fouls13

Player Box Score

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Patrick McMahon	G	38	6-15	0-4	5-6	6	1	0	0	17
Jeremiah Davis	G	31	5-7	2-3	5-5	1	2	1	0	17
Jed Miller	G	43	7-18	2-11	0-0	8	5	0	0	16
Jaden Steppe	F	31	7-9	1-1	0-2	4	0	1	2	15
Christian King	F	33	4-8	2-4	2-3	2	0	3	1	12
Howie Keene	G	17	0-1	0-1	2-2	5	0	1	1	2
Seth Amunrud	G	18	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	0
Chris Hodges	F	14	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	0

Weber State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trevor Hennig	G	32	7-13	0-3	5-6	7	1	0	0	19
Nigel Burris	F	34	6-11	1-3	2-2	7	0	3	1	15
Tijan Saine Jr.	G	32	5-16	0-4	4-4	2	5	1	0	14
Viljami Vartiainen	G	38	5-10	2-4	0-0	6	0	2	0	12
Edwin Suarez Jr.	F	25	4-6	0-0	2-3	7	3	4	0	10
ArDarius Grayson	G	18	2-6	0-1	1-3	1	2	1	0	5
Malek Gomma	F	31	2-4	0-0	0-1	9	3	0	0	4
Duce Paschal	G	15	1-5	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

72.8Possessions72.8

108.5Offensive Efficiency112.6

112.6Defensive Efficiency108.5

-4.1Net Efficiency4.1

56.0%Effective FG%47.9%

59.4%True Shooting %51.2%

16.5%Turnover Rate12.3%

31.0%Free Throw Rate26.8%

41.4%3-Point Rate23.9%

0.92Assist / Turnover1.56

Game Summary

Weber State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 72.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.