Kentucky

22-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

83.8%Kentucky

16.2%Mississippi State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADKentucky -9.9

PROJECTED TOTAL160.9

MODEL MONEYLINEKentucky -517

Mississippi State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreKentucky 85

Projected Total160.9

Projected ScoreMississippi State 76

Team Comparison

KentuckyMetricMississippi State

63.9MMH Power Index44.6

115.2Offensive Efficiency107.4

106.3Defensive Efficiency113.2

8.9Net Efficiency-5.8

8.7Strength of Schedule5.0

-1.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-17.5

69.9Tempo72.3

53.2%Effective FG%51.6%

15.4%Turnover Rate16.1%

33.2%Offensive Rebound %29.8%

38.0%Free Throw Rate30.9%

6.2Average Margin-4.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMKentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.9–44.6), offensive efficiency (115.2–107.4), defensive efficiency (106.3–113.2), net efficiency (8.9–-5.8).

Final

Kentucky

95—90

Mississippi State

Kentucky by 5 • 74.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

KentuckyTEAM STATMississippi State

34-61FG32-71

56.0%FG%45.0%

16-323PT12-40

50.0%3PT%30.0%

11-19FT14-18

58.0%FT%78.0%

41Rebounds33

9Offensive Rebounds11

21Assists13

13Turnovers6

3Steals9

2Blocks6

18Fouls16

Player Box Score

Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaxson Robinson	Guard	30	9-12	7-10	2-2	3	2	0	0	27
Otega Oweh	G	33	6-9	0-1	3-6	8	2	2	0	15
Andrew Carr	Forward	21	5-8	1-2	2-2	6	1	0	0	13
Ansley Almonor	Forward	19	4-7	3-6	0-0	1	0	0	0	11
Lamont Butler	Guard	34	4-12	2-5	0-2	1	8	1	0	10
Amari Williams	Center	30	3-4	0-1	4-5	12	6	0	2	10
Koby Brea	Guard	17	1-6	1-5	0-0	3	1	0	0	3
Brandon Garrison	F	10	1-2	1-1	0-2	3	1	0	0	3
Travis Perry	G	6	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cameron Matthews	Forward	36	6-11	2-3	5-8	10	3	6	0	19
Josh Hubbard	G	29	5-16	3-11	2-2	3	2	0	0	15
RJ Melendez	Forward	25	4-10	1-5	5-6	4	0	0	0	14
Claudell Harris Jr.	Guard	30	4-11	3-9	2-2	2	0	1	0	13
Mike Nwoko	F	23	5-6	0-1	0-0	5	1	0	2	10
KeShawn Murphy	F	20	4-7	0-2	0-0	4	2	0	0	8
Riley Kugel	G	8	3-5	2-4	0-0	0	0	0	1	8
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	25	1-5	1-5	0-0	3	5	2	3	3
Dellquan Warren	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.3Possessions74.3

127.9Offensive Efficiency121.1

121.1Defensive Efficiency127.9

6.7Net Efficiency-6.7

68.9%Effective FG%53.5%

67.8%True Shooting %56.6%

17.6%Turnover Rate8.0%

31.1%Free Throw Rate25.4%

52.5%3-Point Rate56.3%

1.62Assist / Turnover2.17

Game Summary

Kentucky won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 74.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.