Austin Peay

22-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

82.5%Austin Peay

17.5%North Florida

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAustin Peay -10.5

PROJECTED TOTAL166.0

MODEL MONEYLINEAustin Peay -471

North Florida

7-25

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAustin Peay 88

Projected Total166.0

Projected ScoreNorth Florida 78

Team Comparison

Austin PeayMetricNorth Florida

54.8MMH Power Index36.3

115.0Offensive Efficiency109.4

103.1Defensive Efficiency121.1

11.9Net Efficiency-11.7

-5.8Strength of Schedule-0.6

8.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.3

71.0Tempo72.8

53.9%Effective FG%53.6%

15.3%Turnover Rate17.2%

30.3%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

39.0%Free Throw Rate29.5%

8.4Average Margin-8.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Austin Peay HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAustin Peay holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.8–36.3), offensive efficiency (115.0–109.4), defensive efficiency (103.1–121.1), net efficiency (11.9–-11.7).

North Florida COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.6–-5.8).

Final

Austin Peay

77—76

North Florida

Austin Peay by 1 • 78.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Austin PeayTEAM STATNorth Florida

26-66FG23-56

39.0%FG%41.0%

4-173PT5-23

24.0%3PT%22.0%

21-29FT25-32

72.0%FT%78.0%

37Rebounds39

13Offensive Rebounds9

14Assists9

12Turnovers15

12Steals6

1Blocks1

20Fouls23

Player Box Score

Austin Peay

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rashaud Marshall	F	32	7-13	0-0	13-16	14	1	1	1	27
Collin Parker	F	38	6-19	0-4	4-6	7	5	0	0	16
Zyree Collins	PG	39	5-14	1-5	3-4	2	4	7	0	14
Anton Brookshire	PG	29	4-8	3-6	0-0	1	1	1	0	11
Ja'Corey Robinson	PG	23	4-8	0-0	1-1	4	2	0	0	9
Tate McCubbin	G	23	0-3	0-2	0-0	3	1	2	0	0
Creighton Morisch	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0	0
Travis Torain	G	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

North Florida

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kamrin Oriol	G	39	8-15	3-6	5-6	7	2	0	0	24
Kent Jackson	G	36	5-17	2-12	4-4	4	3	1	0	16
Dalton Gayman	F	27	3-4	0-0	8-10	9	1	2	0	14
BJ Plummer	F	33	2-7	0-3	4-4	4	1	0	0	8
Mason Lee	F	30	3-5	0-2	2-4	7	1	1	0	8
Nestor Dyachok	F	15	2-5	0-0	0-2	4	1	0	0	4
Trey Cady	F	3	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	1	1	2
Dante Oliver	G	13	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Taylor Thompson	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Devin Hines	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

78.0Possessions78.0

98.7Offensive Efficiency97.4

97.4Defensive Efficiency98.7

1.3Net Efficiency-1.3

42.4%Effective FG%45.5%

48.3%True Shooting %53.4%

15.2%Turnover Rate19.4%

43.9%Free Throw Rate57.1%

25.8%3-Point Rate41.1%

1.17Assist / Turnover0.60

Game Summary

Austin Peay won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 78.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.