Morehead State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.8%Morehead State

42.2%Eastern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMorehead State -0.4

PROJECTED TOTAL144.2

MODEL MONEYLINEMorehead State -137

Eastern Illinois

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMorehead State 72

Projected Total144.2

Projected ScoreEastern Illinois 72

Team Comparison

Morehead StateMetricEastern Illinois

47.3MMH Power Index39.9

110.8Offensive Efficiency99.6

110.0Defensive Efficiency104.4

0.8Net Efficiency-4.8

-4.0Strength of Schedule-2.4

3.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.7

67.9Tempo67.4

51.3%Effective FG%47.5%

17.3%Turnover Rate18.5%

36.4%Offensive Rebound %29.3%

37.9%Free Throw Rate33.7%

0.5Average Margin-3.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Morehead State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMorehead State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (47.3–39.9), offensive efficiency (110.8–99.6), net efficiency (0.8–-4.8), recent form (3.1–-4.7).

Eastern Illinois COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.4–110.0), strength of schedule (-2.4–-4.0).

Final

Morehead State

73—70

Eastern Illinois

Morehead State by 3 • 66.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Morehead StateTEAM STATEastern Illinois

26-49FG27-62

53.0%FG%44.0%

7-203PT3-16

35.0%3PT%19.0%

14-19FT13-14

74.0%FT%93.0%

31Rebounds29

7Offensive Rebounds11

17Assists14

15Turnovers9

5Steals9

1Blocks5

13Fouls17

Player Box Score

Morehead State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
George Marshall	G	32	8-10	4-6	3-4	4	2	0	0	23
Davion Cunningham	G	26	9-11	0-1	1-3	2	4	2	1	19
Jon Carroll	F	28	3-6	0-0	3-4	4	1	1	0	9
Chase Dawson	G	32	0-4	0-2	7-8	2	4	1	0	7
Anouar Mellouk	F	26	3-4	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	0	6
Vince Dawson III	G	16	2-6	2-6	0-0	4	1	0	0	6
Josiah LeGree	G	9	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	2	0	0	3
Tamaury Releford	C	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Clayton Parker	F	10	0-3	0-3	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Tyonne Farrell	F	10	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Eastern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zion Fruster	G	39	7-19	1-6	3-3	3	5	6	0	18
Meechie White	G	30	5-12	0-4	3-3	4	6	2	0	13
Kooper Jacobi	F	35	5-11	0-3	2-2	5	1	1	1	12
Nazareth Fisher	F	31	3-4	0-0	5-6	6	1	0	2	11
Terry McMorris	F	35	4-7	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	1	8
Markus Blackwell	G	11	3-5	2-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	8
Preston Turner	G	11	0-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Prince Johnson	F	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.4Possessions66.4

109.9Offensive Efficiency105.4

105.4Defensive Efficiency109.9

4.5Net Efficiency-4.5

60.2%Effective FG%46.0%

62.9%True Shooting %51.0%

22.7%Turnover Rate13.5%

38.8%Free Throw Rate22.6%

40.8%3-Point Rate25.8%

1.13Assist / Turnover1.56

Game Summary

Morehead State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 66.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.