Southern Utah

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.8%Southern Utah

72.2%Tarleton State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTarleton State -7.8

PROJECTED TOTAL154.3

MODEL MONEYLINETarleton State -260

Tarleton State

14-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Utah 73

Projected Total154.3

Projected ScoreTarleton State 81

Team Comparison

Southern UtahMetricTarleton State

40.6MMH Power Index44.6

105.6Offensive Efficiency103.2

110.0Defensive Efficiency101.6

-4.4Net Efficiency1.6

-3.0Strength of Schedule-2.3

-3.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.7

72.3Tempo72.2

52.6%Effective FG%49.0%

19.6%Turnover Rate19.9%

30.3%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

34.4%Free Throw Rate42.8%

-3.2Average Margin1.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tarleton State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTarleton State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.6–40.6), defensive efficiency (101.6–110.0), net efficiency (1.6–-4.4), strength of schedule (-2.3–-3.0).

Southern Utah COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (105.6–103.2), recent form (-3.3–-6.7), shooting efficiency (52.6–49.0).

Final

Southern Utah

74—78

Tarleton State

Tarleton State by 4 • 66.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern UtahTEAM STATTarleton State

21-54FG33-61

39.0%FG%54.0%

11-213PT1-6

52.0%3PT%17.0%

21-27FT11-17

78.0%FT%65.0%

37Rebounds33

15Offensive Rebounds12

12Assists7

15Turnovers10

7Steals10

3Blocks5

18Fouls19

Player Box Score

Southern Utah

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elijah Duval	G	36	7-20	2-4	7-9	7	3	3	0	23
Isaiah Cottrell	F	33	3-11	1-3	6-6	16	0	2	1	13
Dylan Jones	G	25	4-7	4-7	0-0	0	1	0	0	12
Tanner Hayhurst	G	40	3-7	2-3	3-4	3	4	0	0	11
Jaiden Feroah	F	39	1-4	1-2	4-6	5	3	1	2	7
Cale Barclay	F	14	2-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Logan Stephens	G	4	1-1	0-0	1-2	1	0	1	0	3
Kai Burdick	C	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Tarleton State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andy Sigiscar	F	24	7-9	0-0	1-4	5	0	0	3	15
Chris Mpaka	F	18	6-11	0-0	2-2	9	0	2	1	14
DJ Dormu	G	31	5-9	0-1	0-0	1	1	2	0	10
Ocypher Owens	F	22	4-6	0-0	2-3	1	2	2	0	10
Freddy Hicks	G	16	2-7	0-1	5-6	2	1	1	0	9
Jordan Mizell	G	29	4-8	0-1	0-0	4	1	2	1	8
Cameron Thomas	G	17	3-7	0-1	0-0	3	0	1	0	6
Kaia Isaac	G	28	2-3	1-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	5
Kade Douglas	G	11	0-1	0-0	1-2	1	1	0	0	1
Damion Porter Jr.	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.9Possessions66.9

110.6Offensive Efficiency116.6

116.6Defensive Efficiency110.6

-6.0Net Efficiency6.0

49.1%Effective FG%54.9%

55.4%True Shooting %56.5%

22.4%Turnover Rate14.9%

50.0%Free Throw Rate27.9%

38.9%3-Point Rate9.8%

0.80Assist / Turnover0.70

Game Summary

Tarleton State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 66.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.