Vermont

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

23.5%Vermont

76.5%UMBC

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUMBC -8.3

PROJECTED TOTAL140.0

MODEL MONEYLINEUMBC -326

UMBC

24-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVermont 66

Projected Total140.0

Projected ScoreUMBC 74

Team Comparison

VermontMetricUMBC

53.1MMH Power Index59.1

112.2Offensive Efficiency113.0

104.7Defensive Efficiency99.0

7.5Net Efficiency14.0

-4.4Strength of Schedule-5.6

12.4Last 10 Net Efficiency24.7

65.4Tempo65.5

54.1%Effective FG%54.3%

14.4%Turnover Rate14.3%

26.8%Offensive Rebound %25.2%

32.4%Free Throw Rate34.1%

4.9Average Margin9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UMBC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUMBC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–53.1), offensive efficiency (113.0–112.2), defensive efficiency (99.0–104.7), net efficiency (14.0–7.5).

Vermont COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-4.4–-5.6), offensive rebounding (26.8–25.2).

Final

Vermont

62—75

UMBC

UMBC by 13 • 67.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VermontTEAM STATUMBC

22-63FG22-57

35.0%FG%39.0%

10-283PT11-26

36.0%3PT%42.0%

8-10FT20-25

80.0%FT%80.0%

36Rebounds45

7Offensive Rebounds10

12Assists8

7Turnovers8

6Steals3

1Blocks2

16Fouls12

Player Box Score

Vermont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TJ Long	G	27	7-15	3-8	4-4	8	1	0	0	21
Gus Yalden	F	31	7-18	3-6	0-0	12	2	2	0	17
Momo Nkugwa	G	19	3-4	1-1	0-0	3	0	2	1	7
TJ Hurley	G	34	1-8	1-5	2-2	2	1	1	0	5
Sean Blake	G	21	2-7	1-2	0-0	2	4	0	0	5
Noah Barnett	F	19	1-4	0-0	2-4	4	0	1	0	4
Ben Johnson	G	16	1-5	1-4	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Lucas Mari	G	32	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	3	0	0	0
Ben Michaels	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UMBC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jah'Likai King	G	35	6-18	5-9	7-8	5	0	1	0	24
Ace Valentine	G	31	3-8	2-4	4-7	2	5	1	0	12
Caden Diggs	F	26	3-8	2-5	4-4	2	1	0	0	12
DJ Armstrong Jr.	G	32	3-9	1-6	2-2	5	0	0	0	9
Josh Odunowo	F	18	3-5	0-0	2-2	7	1	0	0	8
Jose Roberto Tanchyn	F	28	3-4	1-2	0-0	13	1	1	1	7
Cougar Downing	G	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Riley Jacobs	F	13	0-3	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	1	1
Paul Greene	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.4Possessions67.4

92.0Offensive Efficiency111.3

111.3Defensive Efficiency92.0

-19.3Net Efficiency19.3

42.9%Effective FG%48.2%

45.8%True Shooting %54.4%

10.3%Turnover Rate12.0%

15.9%Free Throw Rate43.9%

44.4%3-Point Rate45.6%

1.71Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

UMBC won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 67.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.