Wagner

14-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.0%Wagner

69.0%Mercyhurst

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMercyhurst -6.1

PROJECTED TOTAL139.4

MODEL MONEYLINEMercyhurst -223

Mercyhurst

17-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWagner 67

Projected Total139.4

Projected ScoreMercyhurst 73

Team Comparison

WagnerMetricMercyhurst

42.9MMH Power Index45.5

105.5Offensive Efficiency105.2

106.1Defensive Efficiency102.2

-0.6Net Efficiency3.0

-5.0Strength of Schedule-5.7

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency3.2

67.6Tempo65.9

50.2%Effective FG%50.5%

18.9%Turnover Rate14.4%

34.0%Offensive Rebound %26.8%

31.6%Free Throw Rate25.4%

-0.4Average Margin2.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Mercyhurst HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMercyhurst holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.5–42.9), defensive efficiency (102.2–106.1), net efficiency (3.0–-0.6), recent form (3.2–0.3).

Wagner COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (105.5–105.2), strength of schedule (-5.0–-5.7), offensive rebounding (34.0–26.8).

Final

Wagner

83—80

Mercyhurst

Wagner by 3 • 74.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

WagnerTEAM STATMercyhurst

26-58FG28-63

45.0%FG%44.0%

7-173PT7-20

41.0%3PT%35.0%

24-30FT17-27

80.0%FT%63.0%

41Rebounds33

13Offensive Rebounds11

10Assists12

16Turnovers9

5Steals10

4Blocks2

22Fouls21

Player Box Score

Wagner

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Jones	G	39	5-14	2-5	7-7	4	2	2	1	19
Michael Cooper	G	25	4-6	0-0	7-9	5	0	0	1	15
Travis Gray	G	34	3-6	2-5	6-8	10	2	0	2	14
Binael Basil	F	32	5-8	0-0	3-4	7	2	1	0	13
John Awoke	G	34	3-11	1-4	0-0	1	1	0	0	7
Eddie Placer	G	25	2-5	2-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	6
Bryan Akanmu	F	19	3-7	0-0	0-0	4	1	2	0	6
Makhai Anderson	G	17	1-1	0-0	1-2	6	1	0	0	3

Mercyhurst

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jake Lemelman	G	36	10-19	4-9	3-4	4	3	1	0	27
Bernie Blunt III	G	38	7-16	3-6	7-7	3	2	3	0	24
Qadir Martin	F	39	7-12	0-0	5-7	10	1	0	2	19
Mykolas Ivanauskas	F	19	2-4	0-1	1-3	6	1	2	0	5
Deshaun Jackson Jr.	G	19	1-4	0-0	0-2	3	2	0	0	2
James Thomas	F	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Sean Lang	G	21	0-1	0-0	1-2	1	0	1	0	1
Christian Gamble	G	30	0-4	0-3	0-2	1	3	2	0	0
Kaden Fuhrmann	G	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Cameron Johnson	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.6Possessions74.6

111.3Offensive Efficiency107.2

107.2Defensive Efficiency111.3

4.0Net Efficiency-4.0

50.9%Effective FG%50.0%

57.4%True Shooting %52.8%

21.3%Turnover Rate12.2%

51.7%Free Throw Rate42.9%

29.3%3-Point Rate31.7%

0.63Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Wagner won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 74.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.