Le Moyne

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

34.5%Le Moyne

65.5%Central Connecticut

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Connecticut -5.4

PROJECTED TOTAL146.4

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Connecticut -190

Central Connecticut

18-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLe Moyne 71

Projected Total146.4

Projected ScoreCentral Connecticut 76

Team Comparison

Le MoyneMetricCentral Connecticut

43.2MMH Power Index44.4

105.1Offensive Efficiency111.4

105.4Defensive Efficiency107.0

-0.3Net Efficiency4.4

-3.8Strength of Schedule-7.7

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.5

69.4Tempo66.3

53.5%Effective FG%54.0%

18.9%Turnover Rate15.9%

24.8%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

39.6%Free Throw Rate31.3%

-0.2Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Connecticut HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Connecticut holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.4–43.2), offensive efficiency (111.4–105.1), net efficiency (4.4–-0.3), shooting efficiency (54.0–53.5).

Le Moyne COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.4–107.0), strength of schedule (-3.8–-7.7), recent form (-0.1–-0.5).

Final

Le Moyne

77—78

Central Connecticut

Central Connecticut by 1 • 70.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Le MoyneTEAM STATCentral Connecticut

27-56FG33-68

48.0%FG%49.0%

10-193PT11-32

53.0%3PT%34.0%

13-17FT1-1

76.0%FT%100.0%

35Rebounds31

6Offensive Rebounds6

16Assists21

12Turnovers9

5Steals8

—Blocks5

10Fouls12

Player Box Score

Le Moyne

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Trent Mosquera	G	39	9-16	6-8	4-5	5	4	1	28
Deng Garang	G	33	7-9	2-3	2-4	9	2	3	18
Shilo Jackson	F	39	6-15	0-0	4-4	8	3	0	16
Tennessee Rainwater	G	33	2-4	0-0	3-4	7	2	1	7
Jakob Blakley	G	25	2-6	1-3	0-0	1	3	0	5
Trevor Roe	F	12	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	3
Eli Greenberg	G	12	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	2	0	0
Samuel Hincapie	G	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0

Central Connecticut

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Melo Sanchez	G	28	8-14	6-11	1-1	2	2	3	0	23
Darin Smith Jr.	F	33	9-21	2-8	0-0	5	4	2	0	20
Max Frazier	F	32	7-7	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	3	14
Jay Rodgers	G	29	4-12	1-6	0-0	2	8	0	0	9
Ashton Reynolds	G	9	3-4	1-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	7
Roddy Jones	G	12	1-5	1-5	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Jayden Mott	F	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
James Jones	G	30	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	4	3	1	0
Elijah Parker	G	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	0
Daniel James	F	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.8Possessions70.8

108.8Offensive Efficiency110.2

110.2Defensive Efficiency108.8

-1.4Net Efficiency1.4

57.1%Effective FG%56.6%

60.1%True Shooting %57.0%

17.1%Turnover Rate12.6%

30.4%Free Throw Rate1.5%

33.9%3-Point Rate47.1%

1.33Assist / Turnover2.33

Game Summary

Central Connecticut won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 70.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.