Central Arkansas

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

74.1%Central Arkansas

25.9%Stetson

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Arkansas -6.8

PROJECTED TOTAL157.5

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Arkansas -286

Stetson

12-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Arkansas 82

Projected Total157.5

Projected ScoreStetson 75

Team Comparison

Central ArkansasMetricStetson

54MMH Power Index40

113.9Offensive Efficiency107.2

105.2Defensive Efficiency115.9

8.7Net Efficiency-8.7

-3.9Strength of Schedule-1.0

9.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.9

71.0Tempo68.7

54.3%Effective FG%53.8%

15.3%Turnover Rate18.3%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

30.7%Free Throw Rate33.6%

6.1Average Margin-6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Arkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.0–40.0), offensive efficiency (113.9–107.2), defensive efficiency (105.2–115.9), net efficiency (8.7–-8.7).

Stetson COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.0–-3.9), free throw rate (33.6–30.7).

Final

Central Arkansas

88—76

Stetson

Central Arkansas by 12 • 66.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central ArkansasTEAM STATStetson

30-61FG27-51

49.0%FG%53.0%

13-333PT15-29

39.0%3PT%52.0%

15-20FT7-8

75.0%FT%88.0%

33Rebounds26

14Offensive Rebounds5

22Assists20

10Turnovers16

12Steals5

1Blocks2

13Fouls16

Player Box Score

Central Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Camren Hunter	G	32	9-16	6-12	6-6	5	6	4	0	30
Cole McCormick	F	20	4-11	0-5	4-4	2	4	2	0	12
Luke Moore	G	35	4-11	2-5	1-4	3	3	0	1	11
Ty Robinson	G	29	4-9	3-6	0-1	5	2	4	0	11
Javion Guy-King	G	26	4-6	0-2	2-3	2	1	0	0	10
Parker Applegate	G	6	3-3	2-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	8
Malchiah Marable	F	21	1-2	0-0	2-2	6	3	0	0	4
Truman Byrne	F	17	1-2	0-1	0-0	5	2	1	0	2
Harry Beauchamp	G	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Tyler Lee	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Stetson

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ethan Copeland	G	38	9-18	7-11	2-2	6	3	0	0	27
Finley Sheridan	F	34	5-6	3-4	0-0	7	3	1	0	13
Calvin Sirmans III	G	30	4-8	2-3	1-2	1	11	2	1	11
Jake Johnson	G	25	3-6	2-5	2-2	1	1	0	0	10
Matar Diop	F	27	2-3	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	1	6
Janusz Ratowski	F	11	3-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	6
Alex Doyle	F	19	1-6	1-6	0-0	1	1	1	0	3
Daniel Macgregor	G	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
J.R. Leonard	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.2Possessions66.2

132.9Offensive Efficiency114.8

114.8Defensive Efficiency132.9

18.1Net Efficiency-18.1

59.8%Effective FG%67.6%

62.4%True Shooting %69.3%

15.0%Turnover Rate24.3%

32.8%Free Throw Rate15.7%

54.1%3-Point Rate56.9%

2.20Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Central Arkansas won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 66.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.